Swinger’s By the Numbers NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 17th

New Orleans Pelicans

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, March 21, 2017 4:01 PM GMT

By the Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring Swinger’s top selections according to historical trends and game time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Tuesday’s slate and cash in our NBA picks.

Suns (22-48 SU, 34-34-2 ATS) vs. Heat (34-36 SU, 43-27 ATS)
  • Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss.

  • Miami is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

  • Miami is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

  • Miami is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

  • Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

  • Phoenix is 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

  • Phoenix is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater.

  • Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Suns are 9-25 straight up on the road so losing tonight is highly likely. The question is just how bad will their beating be and is Miami up to the task to cover the double digit handicap that the NBA odds makers are dealing? Phoenix has lost outright and failed to cover the number in four straight while the Heat were rolling with seven consecutive ATS covers until their stunning defeat to Portland on Sunday night. We believe they will get back on track as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Suns and tend to rebound well after an upset loss.

Free NBA Pick: Heat -12 Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Grizzlies (40-30 SU, 36-34 ATS) vs. Pelicans (29-41 SU, 34-34-2 ATS)
  • New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

  • New Orleans is 6-0 ATS in their last six Tuesday games.

  • New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.

  • New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.

  • Memphis is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Tuesday games.

  • Memphis is 1-8 ATS in their last nine games playing on two day’s rest.

  • Memphis is 2-8 after a division game.

Both teams have recently been cashing for all those backing them in their NBA picks. Memphis has won and covered their last four while the Pelicans have won and covered four of their last five. But something has to give and the numbers say that the boys down on the Bayou will prevail. A little over a month ago the Pelicans defeated the Grizzlies in Memphis as eight-point road dogs. We believe they will prevail again and cover the small number.

Free NBA Pick: Pelicans -2 Best Line Offered: at Betmania

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