Swinger’s By the Numbers NBA Picks for Thursday

John Wall

Thursday, February 16, 2017 5:17 PM GMT

By the Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring Swinger’s top selections according to historical trends and game time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Thursday evening and cash in our NBA picks.

Wizards (33-21 SU, 31-23 ATS) vs. Pacers (29-27 SU, 25-30-1 ATS)

  • Indiana is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games.

  • Indiana is 1-4 ATS in their last five when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

  • Indiana is 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games playing on zero day’s rest.

  • Indiana is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

  • Washington is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite.

  • Washington is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.

  • Washington is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.

  • Washington is 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.

The Pacers are coming off a hard fought battle against the Cavaliers last night, dropping a 113-104 decision, and must now fly back home to face a rested Wizards’ team that has won 10 of their last 11 games and covered the NBA odds in seven of those contests. The absence of Thaddeus Young has not helped the Pacers’ cause and he will again be sidelined with a sore wrist for tonight’s contest. In addition, the Wizards are 4-0 ATS versus the Pacers in games played in Indiana over the past three seasons.

Free NBA Pick: Wizards -2 

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Wizards (32-21 O/U) vs. Pacers (30-26 O/U)

  • Over is 4-1 in Indiana’s last five games playing on zero day’s rest.

  • Over is 6-0 in Indiana’s last six vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

  • Over is 4-1 in Indiana’s last five overall.

  • Over is 35-16 in Washington’s last 51 games playing on two day’s rest.

  • Over is 18-8 in Washington’s last 26 road games.

  • Over is 20-8 in Washington’s last 28 games following a straight up win.

  • Over is 6-0 in Washington’s last six when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

  • Over is 4-0 in Washington’s last four after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Due to the small slate, this is my first total of the season as this looks far more tempting than the coin flip that is the Celtics/Bulls game. The numbers are begging us to go over the posted total in our NBA picks and we will happily comply.

Free NBA Pick: Over 215 

Best Line Offered: at BetDSI

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