Swinger’s By the Numbers NBA Picks For Saturday

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Saturday, January 28, 2017 5:19 PM GMT

By the Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring three top selections according to historical trends and game time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Saturday.

Clippers (30-17 SU, 23-24 ATS) vs. Warriors (39-7 SU, 22-23-1 ATS)

* Golden State is 4-0 ATS in their last four after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

* Golden State is 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win.

* Golden State is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.

* Golden State is 6-1 ATS in their last seven after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

* LA is 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

* LA is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 5.0 or more.

* LA is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games.

* LA is 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The last time these teams met in Golden State, March of 2016, the Warriors drew away to a 114-98 victory and easily cashed for all those who backed them in their NBA picks as 9 ½ point favorites. The only meeting this season took place at the Staples Center where the Warriors again defeated the Clippers by an almost identical score of 115-98. This time around there is no Chris Paul suiting up for LA, sidelined with a thumb injury, and DeAndre Jordan is probable with a personal issue. The Warriors have had two days of rest and should easily duplicate their efforts in their last two meetings with the Clips.

Free NBA Pick: Warriors -12 ½

Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Nets (9-37 SU, 20-24-2 ATS) vs. Timberwolves (17-29 SU, 20-26 ATS)

* Minnesota is 1-6 against Atlantic division opponents.

* Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.

* Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

* Minnesota is 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

* Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in their last six Saturday games.

*Brooklyn is 5-2 ATS as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points

We know the Nets are a lousy team and are coming off a 124-116 loss to the Cavaliers last night, yet easily covered the 16-point impost that the NBA odds makers were dealing. However, the team they are facing is a woeful 17-29 and are laying double digits. Perhaps this play is more a fade of the T-Wolves harnessed with an untenable number than it is an endorsement of the Nets. In addition, Brooklyn won the only meeting between these clubs this season with a 119-110 home victory.

Free NBA Pick: Nets +11 ½

Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Grizzlies (27-21 SU, 23-25 ATS) vs. Jazz (30-18 SU, 20-26-2 ATS)

* Utah is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.

* Utah is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

* Utah is  1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.

* Utah is 1-5 ATS in their last six games playing on one days rest.

* Memphis is 5-1 ATS in their last six Saturday games

* Memphis is 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.

* Memphis is 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.

* Memphis is 4-0 ATS in their last four in a road game where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points.

This is the fourth meeting between these Western Conference rivals in which the Grizzlies have won and covered two of the previous three including a 102-96 win as six-point road dogs back in November. Once again, the oddsmakers are inflating the line because the public loves to bet the home chalk, whereas the sharps see value. Although Utah has a slight edge in overall talent, it's not 7 ½ points worth.

Free NBA Pick: Grizzlies +7 ½

Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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