Swinger’s By The Numbers NBA Picks For Monday

Orlando Magic player in action

Swinging Johnson

Monday, January 30, 2017 3:57 PM GMT

By the Numbers is a daily column featuring three top selections according to historical trends and game time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Monday evening and cash in our NBA picks.

Nets (9-38 SU, 20-25-2 ATS) vs. Heat (18-30 SU, 26-22 ATS)
  • Miami is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

  • Miami is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.

  • Miami is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

  • Miami is 6-0 ATS in their last six after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

  • Brooklyn is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.

  • Brooklyn is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

  • Brooklyn is 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

  • Brooklyn is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on one day’s rest.

Miami is playing their best basketball of the season, ripping off seven consecutive straight up wins and covering the NBA odds in all of those contests. Conversely, the Nets continue to get trounced night after night, losing a whopping 15 of 16 straight up and covering the number in just five of those games. Eventually, the Nets will win and the Heat will go back to being the Heat. But here we have a convergence of two polar opposite trends colliding in what should be a double digit cover for the South Beach crew.

 

Free NBA Pick: Heat -9 Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Magic (19-30 SU, 21-27-1 ATS) vs. Timberwolves (18-29 SU, 21-26 ATS)
  • Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win.

  • Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

  • Minnesota is 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points

  • Minnesota is 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

  • Orlando is 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on zero days’ rest.

  • Orlando is 9-5 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent.

  • Orlando is 2-0 against the spread versus the T-Wolves over the last two games in Minnesota.

Here we have two teams with essentially the same records yet the T-Wolves must lay eight points to a team that has not only covered the number but defeated them outright in their past two trips to the Amway Center. Yes, the Magic is coming off a huge win over the Raptors last night as 11-point road dogs but if they get star guard Evan Fournier back for this one, after an eight-game injury sabbatical, there could be another upset in the making.

 

Free NBA Pick: Magic +8 Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Grizzlies (28-21 SU, 24-25 ATS) vs. Suns (15-32 SU, 24-21-2 ATS)
  • Phoenix is 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games following an ATS loss.

  • Phoenix is 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games.

  • Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog.

  • Phoenix is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home.

  • Memphis is 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win.

  • Memphis is 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.

  • Memphis is 1-5 ATS in their last six when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

If you have been backing Memphis recently in your NBA picks then you know they have failed to cover the number in five of their last seven games. On the flip side, the Suns have covered in four of their last five and have covered the spread in three of their last four matchups against Memphis. We will take the home dog here.

 Free NBA Pick: Suns +4 Best Line Offered: at Bet365

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