Swinger’s By The Numbers NBA Picks For Monday, March 6

bucks 76ers

Swinging Johnson

Monday, March 6, 2017 3:02 PM GMT

Monday, Mar. 6, 2017 3:02 PM GMT

By The Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring Swinger’s top selections according to historical trends and game-time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Monday's slate and cash in our NBA picks.

Bucks (28-33 SU, 25-36 ATS) At 76ers (23-39 SU, 38-23-1 ATS)
  • Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss.
  • Philadelphia is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in their last six Monday games.
  • Philadelphia is 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Milwaukee is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.
  • Milwaukee is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.
  • Milwaukee is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.

The caveat in backing the 76ers in your NBA picks is that Jahlil Okafor may not suit up due to a sore knee. Reportedly his absence from Saturday's blowout loss to the Pistons was precautionary and he will be back in uniform tonight. However, the two previous meetings this season between these clubs resulted in straight-up road victories by Philadelphia as significant underdogs. Let's also note that the Bucks are 10-18 ATS on the road while the Sixers are a stellar 23-9 ATS at home.

NBA Free Pick: 76ers +3.5Best Line Offered: BetPhoenix

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Pelicans (25-38 SU, 30-32-1 ATS) At Jazz (39-24 SU, 27-34-2 ATS)
  • Utah is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.
  • Utah is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Utah is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.
  • Utah is 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games playing on zero days rest.
  • Utah is  1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in their last seven Monday games.
  • New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.

Both teams are playing on zero days of rest as the Jazz edged the Kings 110-109 in Sacramento on Sunday but failed to cover the NBA odds as 9½-point road chalk, while the Pelicans covered as 6-½ point road faves with a 105-97 win over the Lakers in Los Angeles. Utah has not responded well in these scenarios with a 1-7-1 ATS mark over its last nine when playing the second leg of back-to-back games. I believe the big banging duo of New Orleans' DeMarcus Cousins and Anthony Davis should be tough for the Jazz to deal with as they travel home after a grueling game against the Kings.

NBA Free Pick: Pelicans +6.5Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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