Swinger’s By the Numbers for Monday, March 13

raptors mavericks

Swinging Johnson

Monday, March 13, 2017 3:25 PM GMT

Monday, Mar. 13, 2017 3:25 PM GMT

By the Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring Swinger’s top selections according to historical trends and game time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Monday. 

Mavericks (28-37 SU, 36-29 ATS) at Raptors (38-28 SU, 35-30-1 ATS)
  • Toronto is 2-7 ATS in their last nine after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Toronto is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite.
  • Toronto is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • Toronto is 1-5 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Dallas is 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up loss.
  • Dallas is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Dallas is 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
  • Dallas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on one day’s rest.

The Mavericks had reeled off four straight wins and covered the NBA odds in six consecutive games, before they bowed to the Suns 100-98 as 5½-point home chalk Saturday night. They catch a slumping Raptors team that has dropped three of their last four and has failed to cover in five of their last seven. The last time these teams met at the Air Canada Centre was in December when the Raptors outlasted the Mavs 103-99 but narrowly failed to cover the 4½-point impost. Dallas has covered in three of its past four trips to Toronto and should do so again.

NBA Free Pick: Mavericks +4.5Best Line Offered: BetPhoenix

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Bucks (32-33 SU, 29-36 ATS) at Grizzlies (36-30 SU, 32-34 ATS)
  • Memphis is 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss.
  • Memphis is 0-5 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Memphis is 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
  • Memphis is 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Milwaukee is 4-0 ATS in their last four Monday games.
  • Milwaukee is 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win.
  • Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
  • Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in their last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Those who have been backing the Bucks in their NBA picks over the last six games have done nothing but cash tickets. Milwaukee has won all six straight up and defeated the Grizzlies 106-96 in their only meeting of the season. Conversely, the Grizzleis have been in a downward spiral recently, having lost outright and against the spread their last five. I’ll take the hot team and the points to boot against a struggling Raptors club.

NBA Free Pick: Bucks +4Best Line Offered: SkyBook

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