Here’s a look at a few NBA betting matchups we’re circling on the calendar this coming week, including the Warriors and Spurs and Cavaliers and Wizards.
Tuesday, October 31
Thunder at Bucks (8 p.m. ET)
Reigning MVP Russell Westbrook squares off against current top challenger Giannis Antetokounmpo on Halloween night.The “Greek Freak” is the first NBA player ever to average 35 points, 10 rebounds, and 5 assists through the first 5 games of a new season. It’s unlikely the two will go on a scoring rampage and take the game too far outside the box. The trends between these two are clear-cut when clashing in Milwaukee: lay the favorite and lean the ‘under.’ Let's not get tricked here, and treat ourselves to winning bet.
OKC is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS at BMO Harris Bradley Center as road chalk all-time, holding the Bucks to fewer than 100 points in each. Catching points, however, the Thunder are 1-4 SU and ATS. With each meeting seeing a team fail to reach 100 points, the ‘under’ is an automatic lean here. The average total is 203.3 with a 189.8 combined score. In fact, the ‘under’ is 14-7 in the Bucks’ last 21 home games with 17 failing to see a team hit the century mark.
Wednesday, November 1
Raptors at Nuggets (9 p.m. ET)
West Coast road swings undoubtedly wear out Eastern Conference teams in the NBA. When asked to throttle up the pace and play fast, tired legs typically become a problem. Just ask the Toronto Raptors. Since 2004, they are 7-16-1 ATS when out West in games with a 214 total or higher. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are 8-4 ATS versus Eastern Conference foes with an over/under of 214 or more in the last calender year. If the number gets close, lean Denver covering the points.
Thursday, November 2
Warriors at Spurs (8 p.m. ET)
It’s the Clash of the Western Conference Titans when the Warriors face off with the Spurs on Thursday. Since Steve Kerr assumed head coaching duties in 2014, Golden State holds a 9-5 SU and 8-6 ATS edge in the series. The average line is -3.4 in favor of the Warriors with the two playing exactly (0.00) to the number.
The lean here will be with the total. When the Warriors tip off chalk in this span, the ‘over’ is 7-1-1, playing 12.6 points north of a 210.3 average total. The Spurs are often forced to speed up play and chase the game, Golden State holding a halftime lead of 7 points or more in six of the nine contests.
Friday, November 3
Cavaliers at Wizards (7 p.m. ET)
The Cavaliers and Wizards clashed in what some dubbed the Game of the Year the last time LeBron James and company traveled to Washington D.C. Cleveland won and covered the spread (-1) in a 140-135 overtime thriller last February. Wiz guard Bradley Beal led all scorers with 41 points, while Cavs power forward Kevin Love netted 39 and James 32 points.
We are expecting another high-scoring affair this time around. Cleveland averages 112 points per game in four versus the Wiz during regulation time with LeBron in the lineup since Tyronn Lue assumed head coaching duties and upped the Cavs’ pace. Cleveland is struggling to situate its defense to begin the new season, allowing opponents to score 3.8 points higher than projected through its first five games. The Wiz will keep it close, if not win, and will have to outrun Cleveland to do so. The average total in the last five games is 213.9 between the two. Look for it to open closer to 220 for this one, but it’s still not enough. Take the ‘over’ for your NBA picks.