Sweet Spots Of The Week: Top NBA Picks to Usher in December

Jay Pryce

Sunday, December 3, 2017 3:42 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 3, 2017 3:42 PM UTC

The NBA season is roughly a quarter of the way complete as it heads into the first week of December. Check out some of these ideal upcoming betting matchups, including the Pistons at Spurs, a John Wall-less Wizards at Trail Blazers, and a Steph Curry homecoming when the Warriors visit the Hornets.

Monday, December 4

Pistons at Spurs (8:30 p.m. ET)

The Pistons are 7-1 ATS as a road underdog this season, covering the number (7.1) by 9.2 points per game. Their lone failure came last time out by a half point. Detroit fell to the 76ers 108-103 as 4.5-point pups on the closing betting odds boards on Saturday.

The Spurs, meanwhile, are 9-3 ATS at AT&T Center. Their weak spot is against opponents with high field goal percentages. Versus those averaging better than 45 percent from the floor on the year, they are 2-2 ATS, losing to the number by 5.3 points per game. Detroit enters with the NBA’s 12th best rate at 46.2 percent.

The ‘under’ is a perfect 4-0 in this spot, a combined score of 191 points staying 15.1 points south of a 206.1 average total. San Antonio head coach Gregg Popovich makes it a priority to stymie good shooting teams and force the game into a defensive struggle. ‘Under’ the total looks a good bet regardless the number going in.

Tuesday, December 5

Wizards at Trail Blazers (10 p.m. ET)

No John Wall, no problem. The All-Star point guard has missed the Wizards last four games due to knee soreness and is all but assured out for the trip to Portland after receiving a platelet-rich-plasma injection in the joint a week ago. Since 2015, Washington is 11-4 ATS with Wall on the bench, including a 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS record this season.

Wall owns a 2.5 Box Plus/Minus for his career and has been worth roughly 3.1 points per game when in the Wizards lineup. The market is slightly overvaluing his absence. Washington’s average line is -1.0 in this span with Wall starting, 3.1 when out. Watch the number versus the Trail Blazers. If it grows inflated due to Portland public backing, the value will rest with the Wiz.

Wednesday, December 6

Warriors at Hornets (8 p.m. ET)

Steph Curry has put on a show for his hometown fans in Charlotte when making the rare stop in the Queen City. The two-time NBA MVP averages 34.2 points, 6.5 assists, and 5.0 from deep in four games at Spectrum Center. Here he is dropping 28 in the 3rd quarter of his last visit:

Since it's #TBT, here's Steph Curry scoring 28 points in the 3rd Quarter against the Hornets in the most disrespectful way. pic.twitter.com/KcBpAZqE0U

— (17-6) (@bigguccicurry) April 6, 2017

Expect another big night for Curry on Wednesday, and lean Golden State to cover the spread against a lackluster Hornets offense.

The high-octane Warriors have yet to play a game with an over-under less than 209 points. This is bad news for Charlotte fans. Under head coach Steve Clifford, the Hornets are 0-8 ATS as a home underdog with a game total of 207 or higher all-time. The offense just isn’t there to keep up, averaging 101.0 points per game. Charlotte loses by 12.5 points a night in this spot, failing to cover a 5.1 average line by a large margin.

Thursday, December 7

Lakers at 76ers (8 p.m. ET)

This clash of talented youngsters will see the Sixers go off sizeable favorites, yet the number still might not be enough to contain the talent of Joel Embiid. Philly is 34-16 ATS (68 percent) with the big man in the lineup all-time. At Wells Fargo Center, the team is 22-11 ATS overall. Embiid and crew are taking care of business when expected. They 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS when lying more than 3 points this season, winning by 10.7 points per game. Expect oddsmakers to open this matchup in the 6 to-7-point range in favor of Philly. Any number in the single-digits is worth offering in this spot.

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