Sweet Spots Of The Week: Top NBA Picks For December 11th-15th

Jay Pryce

Sunday, December 10, 2017 5:23 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 10, 2017 5:23 PM UTC

We’ve identified a few ideal NBA betting matchups coming up for the week of December 11-15, including a Steph Curry-less Warriors hosting the Trail Blazers, an NYC clash between the Knicks and Nets, and Spurs taking on the Rockets at Toyota Center.

Monday, December 11 - Trail Blazers at Warriors (10:30 p.m. ET)

Warriors head coach Steve Kerr summed up to the Detroit News prior to their 102-98 win over the Pistons last Friday what it means with Steph Curry out of the lineup: “Everything.”

Curry is expected to miss the next several weeks with a severely sprained ankle. Golden State is built around the two-time MVP's shooting prowess, and no box score figure, plus/minus rating, or other advanced metrics can put a proper figure on his value to the franchise. It shows up in the betting market, too. Since Kerr took over, the Warriors are 6-12 ATS with Curry out of the lineup. failing to cover a -6.0 line by 2.9 points per game. A small edge will likely lie in taking the points with the Trail Blazers in this Pacific Division matchup.

Tuesday, December 12 - 76ers at Timberwolves (9:30 p.m. ET)

The Eastern Conference is supposed to be the weaker of the two in the NBA this season, but don’t tell that to the Timberwolves. They are 1-7-1 ATS in this matchup this year and 13-25-1 dating back to 2016.

The game features a duel between two of the NBA’s best young centers: Minnesota’s Karl-Anthony Towns and Philly’s Joel Embiid. Pick the latter to win the battle. The Sixers are 12-5 ATS on the road when Embiid starts, and 6-6 SU versus foes with a lower point differential. As of Sunday, Philly owns a -0.3 average scoring margin, as opposed to 0.7 for Minnesota. Consider this one a coin-flip and take the points likely residing with Sixers.

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Wednesday, December 13 - Bucks at Pelicans (8 p.m. ET)

The Pelicans own one of the worst perimeter defenses in the NBA. They surrender 11.5 3-pointers a game (26th) on 37.1 percent shooting (23rd). What happens when New Orleans hosts a team at Smoothie King Center failing to fire many up from deep? The combined score tends to stay ‘under’ the total, naturally.

Since DeMarcus Cousins came over from the Kings last February, the record is 9-4 against visitors averaging 28 attempts or fewer from behind the arc for the season with one overtime contest helping push the final tally over the mark. A 203.9 final score is staying well below a 211.0 average game total in this situation. The Bucks enter shooting 24.0 per game from the area, ranking 27th in the league.

Thursday, December 14 - Knicks at Nets (7:30 p.m. ET)

This NYC battle will likely tip off near a pick ‘em on the NBA odds board. Lean the Nets whichever side of the fence they fall. They are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games at Barclays Center when hosting a visitor with a better winning percentage, covering a 2.5-point average line by 5.6 points per game. They have won nine outright in this spot. New York has two games prior, but even if they drop both, its record will still top the Nets for this meeting.

Friday, December 15 - Spurs at Rockets (9:30 p.m. ET)

Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich has the game plan for shutting down James Harden and the Rockets at Toyota Center. They are 5-2 SU and ATS versus “The Beard” and crew in the building. Defense is the key, and it’s made for some profitable betting picking ‘under’ the total. The wager is 6-1 all-time with the final score staying 12.2 points below the total on average. Houston has failed to reach its projected team total in all but one contest by a whopping 9.4 points per game.

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