Sweet Spots Of The Week Nov. 13th-17th: Top Upcoming NBA Picks

Jay Pryce

Sunday, November 12, 2017 3:18 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 12, 2017 3:18 PM UTC

Here’s a look at a few NBA betting matchups we’re circling on the calendar this coming week, including the 76ers at Clippers, Spurs at Timberwolves, and Warriors at Celtics.

Monday, November 1376ers at Clippers (10:30 p.m. ET)

The 76ers have a day’s rest prior to its Monday night clash with the Clippers at Staples Center Monday night. This ensures center Joel Embiid will suit up for the encounter. The front office has yet to clear the defensive force to play in back-to-back games after a rash of injuries plagued his first three years in the NBA. His presence is a difference-maker.

Philly is 10-5 ATS in road contests with Embiid in the starting lineup. The Clippers will likely tip off as single-point favorites, a sweet spot for the Sixers in this situation. They are 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS as underdogs of less than 10 points, beating the number (5.7) by 10.1 points per game. L.A. is in disarray, losing five straight and showing their frustration with a slew of technical fouls in a 111-103 loss at the Pelicans last time out. Look at leaning Philly here.

Tuesday, November 14Raptors at Rockets (8 p.m. ET)

Rockets head coach Mike D’Antoni claims he wants his team to shoot 50 3-pointers per game. It is pretty close to the mark, averaging 44.7 per night. Houston is the first team in NBA history to average more than 50 percent of their field goal attempts (.539) from behind the arc at this point in the season.

Toronto relishes the chance to match the Rockets from the area. It ranks fifth in the league with 31.7 3-pointers attempted per game. When matched up against other 3-point happy teams, the combined score tends to soar past the betting market total. The Raptors have faced five teams averaging 28 3-point attempts or more entering a contest, the ‘over’ is 5-0, staying north of a 212.1 average mark by 14.5 points per game. Not one has traversed into overtime. The number will be a lot higher at this meeting, but not enough to shy us away from betting on the trend. The treys will be raining down in Houston Tuesday night.

Wednesday, November 15Spurs at Timberwolves (10:30 p.m. ET)

The Spurs topped Minnesota 107-99 at AT&T Center in the season opener as 1.5-point chalk. It was San Antonio’s 12th straight win in the series, going 9-3 ATS in this span. Look for the rematch to tip off close to a pick em, which should prove a nice avenge spot for the Timberwolves should they move into chalk territory. Since the start of last season, Minnesota is 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS at Target Center when losing and failing to cover the spread against their opponents on the road in the prior meeting. San Antonio is in Dallas the night before and has dropped three in a row on the road as of Sunday.

Thursday, November 16Warriors at Celtics (8 p.m. ET)

Keep an eye on the total in this matchup of conference champions. Competitive meetings in this situation tend to see the score soar past the game total. The Warriors enter with the best offense in the NBA, averaging 120.3 points per game. The Celtics’ 94.0 allowed are the fewest in the league. Since 2014 and the beginning of the current Golden State dynasty, the ‘over’ is 15-6 when it visits a winning Eastern Conference opponent with a game total at 219 or less—the number (208.5) is bettered by 8.2 points per game in this spot.

Friday, November 17 (7:30 p.m. ET)Clippers at Cavaliers

The Cavaliers are lost, playing up to their opponent’s level of competition on any given night. The trend is they lie down against bad teams, and rise to the occasion versus tougher competition. When squaring off against foes with a lesser points differential on the year, Cleveland is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS, losing to the number (-9.1) by a whopping 16.9 points per contest. When up against teams with a better average winning margin, LeBron James and crew are 3-2 SU and 3-1-1 ATS. The Clippers are on track to own a better differential as they enter Cleveland Friday night, yet each team has a couple of games in-between. The ‘over’ might be the best bet here. It is a perfect 5-0, outperforming a 220.4 average total by 13.4 points in this spot. The Cavs can’t slow good teams down, but when rising to the occasion, they keep up and the combined score swells. 

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