Suns Projected on Updated Odds to Finish with Fewest Wins, Rockets Most

chris paul james harden

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, February 20, 2018 4:42 PM UTC

Tuesday, Feb. 20, 2018 4:42 PM UTC

With the NBA set to come out of its All-Star break on Thursday, BetOnline has released updated win totals for every team. Are there any surprises?

Raise your hand if you projected back in mid-October that the Toronto Raptors to have the best record in the Eastern Conference coming out of the 2018 NBA All-Star break and the Houston Rockets to be atop the Western Conference standings.

Bueller? Bueller? No one!? Yeah, didn’t think so.

BetOnline set the Raptors’ win total for 2017-18 at 47.5 back on October (‘over’ was a slight -125 favorite) and the Rockets’ at 55 (over was -130).

Toronto is 41-16 and with a two-game lead over Boston for the East’s top seed. The Raptors have the NBA’s best home record at 24-4 and the best point differential by far in the East at plus-8.5 (Boston is next down at plus-3.5). Coach Dwane Casey’s team entered the break on a seven-game winning streak, all but one in blowout fashion. The Raptors might not have the East’s best starting five, although one of its best backcourts in Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, but this is a very deep team.

FiveThirtyEight forecasts Toronto to finish 60-22 and lead the East in wins by a wide margin. The Raptors are given a 51 percent chance to make the NBA Finals for the first time in franchise history. BetOnline lists Toronto with a midseason win total of 58. The team record of 56 was set in 2015-16 when the Dinos reached the East Finals for the first time and lost to Cleveland.

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Houston has the NBA’s best record at 44-13, although just a half-game ahead of Golden State. The Rockets are an absurd 28-1 when their Big 3 of James Harden, the midseason NBA betting favorite at SBR’s top-rated sportsbooks, Chris Paul and big man Clint Capela all have started together. That lone defeat was 115-113 in New Orleans on Jan. 26 – it’s Houston’s only loss overall in its past 15 games. FiveThirtyEight projects the Rockets to finish atop the West at 62-20, one game ahead of Golden State. BetOnline lists Houston at 63 wins and the Warriors at 62.5.

Meanwhile, in the race to the bottom the Phoenix Suns have the lowest win total at 24. That number was 28.5 back in October, with the ‘under’ favored. The Suns and Atlanta Hawks are tied for the league’s worst record at 18-41, with Dallas, Orlando, Memphis and Sacramento also on 18 wins but with a loss or two fewer having played fewer games.

Memphis has seen a huge drop largely due to the season-ending injury to Mike Conley. The Grizzlies were 7-6 following the final game he played on Nov. 13. Indiana has seen a huge jump because All-Star guard Victor Oladipo is better than anyone thought.

Here’s a look at the win totals for each club back in October (alphabetical order) compared to BetOnline’s current numbers.

Team Open Current
Atlanta Hawks 27.5 25.5
Boston Celtics 53.5 54.5
Brooklyn Nets 26.5 27
Charlotte Hornets 42.5 36.5
Chicago Bulls 22.5 28
Cleveland Cavaliers 54.5 50
Dallas Mavericks 35.5 27.5
Denver Nuggets 43.5 45
Detroit Pistons 38.5 39.5
Golden State Warriors 67.5 62.5
Houston Rockets 55 63
Indiana Pacers 30.5 44.5
Los Angeles Clippers 42.5 42.5
Los Angeles Lakers 32.5 32.5
Memphis Grizzlies 38.5 27.5
Miami Heat 42.5 43
Milwaukee Bucks 46.5 46.5
Minnesota Timberwolves 46.5 48.5
New Orleans Pelicans 40.5 43.5
New York Knicks 30.5 30.5
Oklahoma City Thunder 52.5 47
Orlando Magic 30.5 28.5
Philadelphia 76ers 40.5 45.5
Phoenix Suns 28.5 24
Portland Trail Blazers 40.5 44
Sacramento Kings 29 24.5
San Antonio Spurs 53.5 48
Toronto Raptors 47.5 58
Utah Jazz 38.5 45
Washington Wizards 48.5 45.5

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