Suns' Defense a Welcome Sight for Heat in Probable 'Over' Matchup

Monday, March 5, 2018 1:57 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 5, 2018 1:57 PM UTC

The last time we won a play on Miami, they gave up 131 points at home to the Lakers. They are home again tonight against beatable Phoenix, but is the total the best pick?

Monday NBA: Suns vs. HeatFree NBA Pick: Over 216½Best Line Offered: Heritage

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Phoenix has given up a lot of points on the road this season, averaging 113 points allowed away from home. In their 10 road games against Eastern Conference opponents, it's even a bit worse at 115.

The Suns are 7-3 cashing the "over" in those 10 games.

Take a look at the highlights from the last time these two teams played:

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The Suns' defense looked more like a bullfighter yelling ”ole” every time Goran Dragic drove into the paint.

Phoenix is coming off a game Sunday in Atlanta, and with our NBA picks that should help us considering the Suns’ already-poor defense. They gave up 113 points to the Hawks, one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, and this season they are 8-5 cashing the "over" on no rest.

Even though the Heat are just 10-12-1 cashing the "over" against the West this season, they are 8-3 cashing the "over" in their last 11 overall. Miami also is 3-0 cashing the "over" in their past three home games against West opponents, and based on the NBA odds board they should extend that streak tonight.

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