Stumbling Rockets At Home Our Sharp NBA Pick Against Wizards

Nikki Adams

Saturday, January 30, 2016 4:32 PM GMT

Wizards and Rockets collide on Saturday, with the hosts trading as the meaningful home faves. Can the Wizards mastermind the upset? Here’s our analysis with 2 free NBA picks.

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NBA Picks: Rockets -165 & -3.5 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Washington Wizards (20-24)
Washington Wizards are riding a discouraging three-game losing streak into Saturday’s date with the Houston Rockets, prompting odds makers to tip the visitors as the +4 underdogs on the road.

Indeed, the NBA line opened with the Wizards as the +3 road underdogs at Pinnacle Sports, amongst other sports betting platforms. Since early doors, the public has bet up the line to +3.5 at Pinnacle and at various other outlets such Bookmaker, BetCris and JustBet while other sportsbooks have gone as high as +4 on the NBA odds board.

The Wizards cut a poor figure in the Eastern Conference, sat eleventh in the standings with a 20-24 SU record highlighted by a 2.6-point losing margin and a negative 1.4-point differential versus the spread.

Recent form includes three straight losses to the Nuggets, Raptors and Celtics, two of which were rather lopsided – the 116-91 loss to the Celtics and 106-89 loss to the Raptors. As a result, the Wizards slipped to a 22-22-0 ATS mark, failing to cover in each and every one of those losses.

The Wizards take a 10-9 SU record on the road into Houston and a 5-5 record in their last ten games. However, they do boast a 3-1 record in their last four away games after beating Orlando, Chicago and Indiana. The lone loss came to high-flying Toronto Raptors.

 

Houston Rockets (25-24)
The Houston Rockets have stumbled in their last two games and slip to 25-24 on the season, a run of form that has them down to seventh in the Western Conference standings. In spite of this conspicuous dip in form, they are the meaningful home chalk on the NBA odds board.

Rockets are a healthy 15-11 SU at home but 11-15 ATS highlighted by a 0.4-point losing margin and a negative 4.6-point differential versus the spread. They dropped the last two of three away games this week – a whopping 130-99 loss to San Antonio and a 116-108 loss to Oklahoma City.

They return home to kick off a back-to-back homestay on the schedule that features Washington and Miami, two games they’ll be looking to bounce back on form. They are 3-3 in their last six home games in straight up betting and 5-5 SU in their last ten games.

On the season, the Rockets are just 21-28 ATS, which yields a 42.9% cover ratio for NBA bettors. The mark includes a 1.5-point losing margin and a negative 3.2-point differential versus the spread.

 

Betting Verdict
With recent form being an identical 5-5 SU in both camps, this game could potentially be a bit of a tossup for your NBA picks. That said, we’re leaning towards the Rockets at home to win SU with the best NBA odds to be had at BetCris of -165. As to the spread, the Rockets are a bit of a longshot NBA pick considering their rather low covering ratio. But the Wizards are in poor form right now and after blowouts to Boston and Toronto. The Rockets could potentially light up in this game just as the Celtics and Raptors did against the off-form Wizards.