Strong West-to-East Dichotomy in Clippers vs. Hornets Betting

Joe Gavazzi

Monday, November 24, 2014 6:54 PM GMT

When East meets West, this NBA handicapper says that West is the best. Joe Gavazzi explains this further before sharing his free pick for tonight's Clippers vs. Hornets. 

LA Clippers (-5) vs. Charlotte Hornets 7:05 ET

LA Clippers (-5)

If the NBA playoffs were to begin tomorrow, neither of these teams would qualify for the post-season party.  For the Clippers, you can blame their opening week funk in which they began the season on a 1-6 ATS slide.  The fortunes for LAC have turned around more recently!  For Charlotte, the opposite has been true.  A 4-2 SU start has disintegrated quickly. 

At 7-5 SU, there is still plenty of upside for the Clippers this season; their NBA odds for tonight currently show them as favorites against the Hornets.  A team that went 63-32 SU last year, amidst late season turmoil regarding ownership, was expected to bounceback strong this season.  The talent is there with the likes of PG Paul and big man Griffin to challenge every team in the West.  Such was not the case last night, when Memphis, their playoff adversary from the previous 2 years, dominated them 107-91. Key issue for the Clippers, as it has been all season, was their work on the boards.  Last night, they were outrebounded by Memphis 52-32.  For the season, the Clippers have a -6 net rebound margin, among the worst in the league.  But, the Clippers have been resilient this season, turning in a record of 3-1 ATS following a defeat.  In addition, this has historically been a strong team in the 2nd of back-to-back games on the road.  On November 20th, LAC followed up a 114-90 road win at Orlando with a 110-93 victory at Miami.  The Clippers are in the midst of a 7/11 day road trip to end November.  More on that later this week … as we will find a great play-against spot to profit!    

The Hornets have lost their way, as they enter tonight on a 5-game losing streak.  After ascending to the .500 mark last year, and projected to be a winning team this season, the Hornets enter on a 5-game losing streak.  HC Clifford says their body language and confidence are sending negative signals.  It certainly would not have gotten better last night, when the Hornets rallied from being 9 down at the half in Miami, but fell short, 94-93 for their 5th straight loss.  Al Jeff went for 25/12, while Lance and Kemba combined for 33.  But, it was all for not!  Consider it to be no coincidence that glue guy, Michael Kidd Gilchrest, has missed the last 6 contests.

Again this season, the Western Conference is superior to the East.  The proof is in the pudding!  Consider that all Eastern Conference teams are 85-111 SU.  All Western Conference teams are 112-86 SU.  Searching for the difference in those records, leads us to the fact that when West plays East, the record is 45-19 SU.  A microcosm of that is that the Clippers are on a recent 18-4 SU run vs. the East and have won 6/7 of late vs. Charlotte.  The Hornets, conversely, are on a 1-6 SU slide vs. Western Conference opponents.  

Free NBA Picks: Let’s play the Clippers’ bounceback, while following the negative momentum of the home team, all backed by the strong West to East dichotomy.

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