Streaking Wiz Road Chalk at Grizz ... but Total is Top Play

wizards grizzlies

Jay Pryce

Friday, January 5, 2018 2:25 PM GMT

Friday, Jan. 5, 2018 2:25 PM GMT

The ailing Grizzlies host John Wall and the red-hot Wizards on Friday (9:30 p.m. ET), with Memphis home underdogs for the ninth time this season. Defenses will dominate. Check out our best bet and game preview here.

Washington Wizards at Memphis Grizzlies (+4.5, 205.5)Free NBA Pick: Under 205.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Wizards (22-16 SU, 19-19 ATS)

Wiz Back-To-Back Baddies, Sneaky Good D

The Wizards have won five of their last six games and rank fourth in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They enter Memphis in a peculiar spot, though. The squad is just 1-4 SU and ATS in the first night of back-to-back contests in 2017; it returns to D.C. tomorrow to host the Bucks.

Offense goes missing in this scenario. The Wiz average 86.8 points per game on 38.2 percent shooting, failing to reach 100 points in each. There is a logical explanation for the lapse. Star point guard John Wall has missed three of the contests and played for just 16 minutes in the other. Expect increased production this time around. The Wiz put up 105.4 points per game on the road with the All Star on the court. Let's help #WallStar return to the special event for the fifth time in his career. He deserves it:

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Make @JohnWall a 5-time #WallStar! Use the button to #NBAVote! #DCFamily https://t.co/z0VPepWfkP

— Washington Wizards (@WashWizards) January 4, 2018
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Washington owns a sneaky good defense and shows signs of shutting down an anemic Grizzlies offense. The Wiz rank eighth in the NBA in efficiency, surrendering 109.1 points per 100 possessions. They have played six road games against teams averaging fewer than 103.5 points per game, allowing 96.0 points overall. That is 5.2 points per game below what the betting market projects for the home team. Memphis scores the second-fewest points in the league with 98.6 per game.

Grizzlies (12-26 SU, 14-24 ATS)

Conley, Parsons Still Out; Offense Hurting

The good news for Memphis fans is point guard Mike Conley went through limited, non-contact practice Thursday afternoon. The 10-year veteran has missed 26 games with soreness in his surgically repaired left Achilles. The bad news is there is no definitive timetable for his return, and interim head coach J.B. Bickerstaff hinted that he wouldn’t be shocked if the point guard missed the rest of the season. Conley and forward Chandler Parsons, are both ruled out tonight.

Conley’s status means everything for the Grizz. With Marc Gasol on the back end of his career and declining statistically, the team misses the point guard’s production badly. It is 5-21 SU and 8-18 ATS with him out of the lineup in 2017-18, losing by 5.8 points per game. In 12 suiting up, Memphis is 7-5 SU (6-6 ATS), winning by 1.5 points per tilt. The squad is weaker by roughly 4 points on both ends of the court.

The offense sees the biggest decline as a home underdog with Conley out. Going 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS, Memphis averages 92.9 points per game on 42.3 percent shooting in this spot. Even with Conley on the court, the Grizz are just 3-9 SU and 1-11 ATS when failing to hit the century mark at home this season.

Memphis is just 1-12 SU and 4-9 ATS against winning teams with Conley out, posting just 95.8 points per game. The firepower simply isn’t available to match the Wiz. Washington wins 102-94. Pick ‘under’ 205.5 for your best bet.

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