Start Your Monday Off Right With A Pair Of Top Value NBA Picks

Jordan Sharp

Monday, March 14, 2016 1:28 PM GMT

Monday, Mar. 14, 2016 1:28 PM GMT

There's a huge slate of NBA Odds for Monday, let’s see if we can parlay that into more winning tickets with my two NBA best bets for the beginning of the work week. 

Pistons vs. Wizards
For some reason, that is completely foreign to me, the sportsbooks continue to put out lines that suggest the Washington Wizards are better than they are. Despite being losers of five straight games both SU and ATS, and potentially being without their second best, and only scorer not named John Wall tonight, the NBA odds still have the Wizards as -2 favorites in these late breaking odds that just opened around 10:30 AM Eastern time.

The Pistons may not be that great either, but this is a much-improved team from the two times these two teams have played this season. The most recent game Detroit wasn’t quite put together from the trade deadline, and the other time was very early in the season. A lot has changed since then, and with the Pistons coming into this one winners of seven of their last 10 games both SU and ATS, Detroit taking points in Washington, DC tonight looks like a steal of a value.

The Pistons have gone 4-3 ATS in their last seven road games heading into this one, while the Wizards are not only losers of their last five straight, they are 8-11 ATS this season as home favorites. Detroit on the other hand is 21-17-1 ATS this season when playing against the East, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven conference games. Look for the good Pistons’ defense to slow down Wall tonight, and the rest will fall into place for this extremely undervalued team tonight.

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NBA Pick: Pistons +2.5
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Wolves vs. Suns
The Wolves and Suns have very little left to play for outside of pride and lottery positioning, but with that being said, considering tanking season is in full swing over the nest month, we are going to see many lapse defenses over the next 15-20 games. Tonight could be one of those instances. The Suns come into this one as -1 favorites after opening as +3 underdogs, which says to me that the sportsbooks forgot that Brandon Knight is back for the Suns and playing well after missing over 20 games.

However, with Knight back, that also makes the total look very inviting. Even though it has gone up to 219 points after opening at 217 ½, there I still some daylight in this total to bet the over. Knight being back for the Suns is a huge boost to a young team that has been struggling, and with Alex Len playing well and Devin Booker getting better with every passing game, this young team has suddenly a lot more firepower than the last time these two teams faced off and Phoenix couldn’t even get to 90 points.

With Knight on the floor this year, the Suns’ Offensive Rating goes from 101 to 103.7, and probably even more importantly, their opponent’s Effective Field Goal Percentage goes up from 52.3 percent to 53.5 percent. With both teams in the running for a top three NBA pick this year, neither one of them is going to exert much effort defensively either, and it has shown in both teams’ recent games.

Both teams have cashed the over in two of their last three overall games, and for the Suns, they have given up an average of 114 points per game over the last month, and in their last three games the Suns have given up more than 122 points per game. The Wolves on the other hand have given up more than 113 points per game over their last ten contests. Don’t be swayed by the fact that the under has cashed in the last three meetings between these two. With Knight back, and with nothing to play for, offense will shine tonight in Phoenix.

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NBA Pick: Over 221.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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