Spurs Getting Too Many Points to Ignore on Monday vs. Warriors

spurs

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, April 15, 2018 3:11 PM GMT

Sunday, Apr. 15, 2018 3:11 PM GMT

San Antonio hopes this series isn’t a repeat of last year’s West finals where they were swept by Golden State. But after a disappointing loss in Game 1, the Spurs have an uphill battle.

NBA Monday: By The NumbersSpurs (47-36 SU, 41-38-4 ATS) vs. Warriors (59-24 SU, 34-46-3 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Spurs +10Best Line Offered: Betmania

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What's Trending
  • Golden State is 5-16 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season.
  • Golden State is 14-21 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season.
  • Golden State is 16-24-2 ATS in home games this season.
  • San Antonio is 11-6 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

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Derrick ➡️ Pau pic.twitter.com/9zl3KHEs95

— San Antonio Spurs (@spurs) April 14, 2018
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Game Analysis

The Golden State Warriors decided to play a little defense on Saturday night and it paid off handsomely in a convincing 113-92 victory over the Spurs in Game 1 of their seven-game series. Both teams played without their respective superstars, with the Warriors’ Steph Curry sidelined while the Spurs’ Kawhi Leonard continues to sit with a quadricep injury that has been described a “thigh bruise.” Leonard’s absence has angered both fans and management alike who believe he wants a ticket out of San Antonio and to a younger playoff contender. Rumor has it, he will get his wish after the season.

Although both Curry and Leonard will be out for not only this game but the entire series, it is clear to see that the Warriors have far more depth and several All-Stars to pick up the slack. Kevin Durant, Klay Thomspon, and Draymond Green provide more than enough pop in the lineup to defeat most teams on any given day. Unfortunately for the Spurs, Leonard’s absence throughout the year has truly hurt San Antonio. The fact that backup veteran forward Rudy Gay was the team's scoring leader Saturday says everything you need to know about how poorly the Spurs played in the series opener.

So, things seem to be pointing Golden State’s way for another victory in Game 2. I would agree, but those who blindly back favorites in their NBA picks have to understand that the point spread is there for a reason. There is a tipping point where a mismatch on paper is not necessarily a “gimme” when factoring in the NBA odds.

As of Sunday morning writing we see online sportsbooks such as Skybook, Betmania, and BetPhoenix offering Golden State -10. Now we know that the Warriors are 4-1 straight up and 3-2 ATS versus the Spurs this season. And let’s also note that Leonard has missed all five of those games. The Spurs shot a dismal 40 percent from the field Saturday while the Warriors shot the lights out, connecting on 54.3 percent of their opportunities. LaMarcus Aldridge, the Spurs' remaining big gun on the floor, was an afterthought in Game 1 with just 14 points on 5-of-12 shooting.

The thinking here is that the Warriors might be a bit overconfident, and the chances are enormous that the Spurs will have a better shooting night than they did in in the opener. Let’s remember the only quarter in which San Antonio outscored Golden State in Game 1 was the fourth. Could that be something to build on as well? This is still a playoff team and Spurs head coach Gregg Popovich didn’t get stupid overnight. I’ll take the 10-point head start the oddsmakers are giving me, as Monday night figures to be much closer than the blowout on Saturday. Grab the live road dog here.

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