Sports BIT: Breaking Down The NBA Finals To Profit From Game 6

Teddy Covers

Tuesday, June 14, 2016 3:20 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 14, 2016 3:20 PM UTC

The Cavs opened up as -2.5 point favorites at home in Game 6, despite the expected return of Green to the lineup on Thursday.

Tuesday’s SportsBIT opens with a detailed look at how the Cavs were able to dominate Golden State in the second half of Game 5.  Spoiler Alert – the Warriors were out of sync on both ends of the court without suspended center Draymond Green. 

The Warriors settled for three pointers on the offensive end of the court, taking nearly half of their shots from beyond the arc; unable to execute their normal offense without Green’s passing ability out of the low post.  And with Green’s ability to switch flawlessly on defense, the Warriors had no answers for LeBron or Kyrie Irving, allowing the Cavs to shoot better than 57% from the floor from two point range. 

Teddy and Pauly showed you the ‘Real Plus Minus’ chart prior to Game 5, showing that Draymond Green ranked #3 in the NBA, behind only LeBron and Steph Curry in terms of his impact on the floor this year.  His absence was a clear difference maker last night.  The Cavs opened up as -2.5 point favorites at home in Game 6, despite the expected return of Green to the lineup on Thursday.

Sportsbooks took a beating on Monday Night.  There was a ton of Cavs – Warriors Over $$, driving the total up from 204.5 to 209.  The game landed right on 209 after only one point got scored in the final 3:22 of the contest, so all the Over bettors got paid and the books didn’t even get anything back from guys looking to buy back the Under for a middling opportunity.

That wasn’t the only game that cost the books big money last night.  The A’s opened near pick ‘em and closed -150 prior to their blowout win over the Rangers, another very bad result for the house.  Money showed for the underdog Phillies at Toronto – books that cater to sharper bettors got smacked around when Philadelphia won 7-0 as nearly $2 underdogs.  And $$ poured in against the slumping LA Angels last night as well, bad news for the books when LA got hammered at home by lowly Minnesota.

Teddy and Pauly also discuss one of the tougher beats of the year in MLB last night, as the Tigers hammered James Shields, then watched a seven run lead get frittered away, culminating in K-Rod’s first blown save since early April.  The Tigers had their chances in extra innings too, but the White Sox completed their rally in the 12th inning with a walk-off hit, the kind of come-from-behind victory that could legitimately be a momentum changing difference maker for a White Sox team that had been slumping for the last month.

FYI, all of this info comes in the opening segment – there’s ton’s more, like a pair of Big Game Breakdowns in MLB tonight and a Deep Dive into the Jacksonville Jaguars Over/Under 7.5 wins in 2016. Check out the full show right here, right now.

Search #SportsBIT on Twitter to find the links for every single show that we’ve done since SportsBIT started in February.

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