Betting on sports profitably is no easy chore, as SportsBIT hosts Teddy and Pauly know, as longtime Vegas veterans. One of the keys for long term success is a daily diet of ‘post mortems.’
'Post mortems' mean putting what just happened under the microscope in an effort to understand what went right and what went wrong with the initial handicapping thought process.
That ‘post mortem’ mentality and diligence isn’t only for games that you bet (whether winning or losing). In the NBA Playoffs, it’s a regular part of the daily routine, looking closely at the games after they’re done for nuances that the betting markets just aren’t capturing. Teddy and Pauly open up the Tuesday edition of SportsBIT with a detailed look back at the three games last night, before they preview tonight’s NBA battles as well as a big game(for April) in NL East betting action.
So, what did bettors learn from the NBA Playoffs last night? Let’s take a look at one of the three games Teddy and Pauly broke down -- the Pacers shoddy showing at Toronto. The Raptors certainly weren’t dominant. Their two stars, Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, combined to shoot just 9-31 from the floor including an 0-7 night from three point range. That duo struggled in Game 1 as well – the Pacers defense is proving to be rather sticky against Toronto’s elite backcourt. Toronto didn’t hit three’s again; only 5-18 from beyond the arc. And the Raptors were outscored by ten on the fast break.
But for Indiana to win games, they have to score points and grab rebounds. They did neither on Monday. Paul George is now 20-37 for 61 points through the first two games of the series. Monte Ellis is 11-24 for 30 points, scoring 15 in each game. The entire rest of the team is just 32-88 from the floor for 96 combined points. The Pacers aren’t getting out of this series if their superstar isn’t complemented appropriately by the supporting cast.
And Toronto’s Game 2 win was a real load off their shoulders from a ‘collective psyche’ standpoint, especially since they did it without ‘A’ level efforts from their guards. The shift in the mentality for these two teams between Game 2 and what we expect to see in Game 3 is not something to underestimate! Check out the other two post mortems and the rest of today’s show right here.