Friday’s SportsBIT is your one stop shop for a true 2016 NBA Playoff Primer! No bad beats and bad bets today – it’s a show loaded with the key info that bettors need to know for all eight playoff series that begin this weekend, as well as a Deep Dive into NBA Playoff Betting 101.
Here’s a very brief recap of some of the key Vegas trends to consider for each of the four series that start on Saturday. You’ll have to watch the show to get Teddy and Pauly’s two cents on the four series that start on Sunday!
Kyle Lowry has been an elite point guard for the Raptors for many years, but in his ten year career he has never been the starting point guard of any team that won a playoff series. With the Raptors, Lowry’s squads have gone 3-8 SU, 2-8-1 ATS in three previous playoff appearances, never advancing out of the first round.
Golden State is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight tries as double digit favorites, but they did beat Houston by 14 or more three times in four regular season meetings. The Warriors had little trouble with the Rockets in the Western Conference Finals last year, knocking out Houston in five games.
The Atlanta Hawks had the best defense in the league after the All Star Break, by a fairly wide margin over #2 San Antonio. Meanwhile, the Celtics defense declined precipitously after the All Star Break, although they are coming off a truly brilliant defensive performance against Miami in Game #82 as they rallied from 26 points down for the win and cover.
Oklahoma City was, by far, the best rebounding team in the NBA this season. That presents matchup problems for the Mavericks, who ranked #26 in the NBA in rebounding margin. But Dallas has been exceptional at slowing down the pace lately, cashing seven Under bets in their last nine games, and Teddy’s initial gut reaction is to take a long, hard look at some Unders in this series.
How To Bet The Playoffs
The Deep Dive into Playoff Betting Theory is a great tool for newbies, talking about the concepts that affect the betting markets here in the postseason. Teddy goes deep into two positive expectation current strategies – his ‘mispriced teams’ strategy and his ‘declining value of the homecourt’ strategy; as opposed to the fairly well known ‘Zig-Zag’ playoff betting theory that hasn’t shown a profit in the last decade. Teddy and Pauly also give their top picks for a first round upset as well as their Finals predictions. It’s a loaded show that you simply can’t afford to miss. Check it out here, now.