Sixers Bite Back & Cover, Underdog NBA Pick in Twolves Cave

Darin Zank

Monday, November 23, 2015 4:25 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 23, 2015 4:25 PM GMT

The Timberwolves are perfect at home this season; 0-6 both straight up and against the NBA odds. But they get a chance to end those droughts, when they host the winless 76ers Monday night.

Sixers-Timberwolves Betting Odds
Most of Monday's NBA odds market opened Minnesota at -7 over Philly, with a total of right around 198. In the early betting many books bumped the Timberwolves to -7.5, and the total to upwards of 201.

Anyone out there crazy enough to consider betting the Sixers to win this game outright could get a price on the NBA moneyline  of +290 at 5Dimes.

 

The Situation
Philly (0-14 SU, 6-8 ATS) is still searching for that elusive first victory of this season, but it is 3-2 ATS over its last five outings. Saturday night the Sixers lost at Miami 96-91 but hung tough enough for the cover as 12-point dogs. Philly actually led the Heat by 17 points in the second quarter, and held a lead all the way until less than three minutes remained in the game, but just couldn't quite hold on, as Miami finished the game on a 20-4 run.

On the night, the Sixers only shot 38 percent from the field, but for the most part, held their own on the boards and in the turnover battle, although 17 is still a few too many.

Friday Philly lost at Charlotte 113-88, whiffing ATS at +11, and just before that it lost at home to Indiana 112-85, whiffing ATS at +6. But just prior to that the Sixers covered +16 against San Antonio and +8 against Dallas.

Minnesota (5-8 SU, 7-6 ATS), meanwhile, has lost two games in a row and six of its last seven, after falling at home to Detroit Friday night 96-86. The Wolves trailed by nine points early in the fourth quarter, pulled to within a bucket, but could not sustain momentum, and eventually missed the cash as three-point home dogs.

On the night, Minnesota shot 43 percent from the floor, while allowing the Pistons to shoot 46 percent.

The T'Wolves are now 0-6 both SU and ATS at home this season.

Last Wednesday Minnesota lost at Orlando 104-101 in overtime but held on for the cover at +5; and just before that they upset the Heat in Miami 103-91.

 

Sixers-T'Wolves Recent History
Minnesota had beaten Philly five times in a row, but the Sixers, as bad as they were last year, actually swept the two meetings between the teams. First, the Sixers went into Minneapolis at 0-17 last season, then beat the T'Wolves 85-77. Six weeks later, back in Philly, they beat Minnesota again 103-94.

The Sixers won that first meeting as seven-point dogs, then won the second meeting as five-point dogs. Philly also outshot the Timberwolves in those two games combined by a 44-40 percent margin.

That first meeting played UNDER a total of 212, while the second game played OVER 193.

 

Sixers-T'Wolves Totals Trends
Philly is 8-6 on the OVERS this season, as Sixers games have averaged 192 points.

Minnesota is 7-6 on the OVERS, as T'Wolves games have averaged 205 points.

 

Sixers-T'Wolves
Philly is a baaaad team, and not in the good way, but it's also 4-3 ATS on the road this season. And the Sixers are not going to go 0-82; they'll pick up a few wins along the way, perhaps Monday night. And hey, Philly beat Minnesota twice last season. We'll take a chance and go with the Sixers here, plus the points. Also, neither of these teams is throwing the ball in the hole with much efficiency, so we're thinking UNDER.

Free NBA Picks: Philadelphia +7.5 and UNDER 201.5 at Heritage

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