We close shop on the month of March today, making this our final look at NBA prop bets. Don't worry, we will be back the next couple days trying to find ways to build your bankroll.
It has really been a super run, hitting 23 of 35 of these props versus the NBA odds boards, at an extremely profitable 65.7 percent clip. Today brings some real challenges because the oddsmakers have these odds down tight, thus, finding great value is not easy to find. However, one game in particular we think we found some holes (really the only one) and we will explain why. For NBA picks on props, these are the five we like best.
Bulls vs. Rockets – J. Harden Over/Under 30 Points (-120)
With neither Chicago or Houston playing a great deal of defense lately, the total is up to 216. With this large of number, this seems like ideal contest to take James Harden on 'over' prop versus Chicago. The Bulls have been torched for 106 points per game in their last five and both clubs are really in fights to secure a playoffs spot. Harden has gotten into a nice groove at home, averaging 36 points a contest over his last three and given this total, hard to imagine he does not tally at least 30 against Chicago.
Prop Play: J. Harden Over 30 Points
Nuggets vs. Pelicans – New Orleans Over /Under 100 Points (-115)
The New Orleans team we expected to see this season has disappeared, almost literally. Because of injury, the Pelicans have used 36 different starting lineups, hardly the kind of continuity any coach or players would prefer. We are not talking about just any players either, we are talking about main studs of this team with Anthony Davis, Jrue Holiday, Eric Gordon and Tyreke Evans all out for the season. With starter Ryan Anderson now out indefinitely with groin injury, New Orleans is missing nine players and it shows, averaging 93 PPG in their last five contests. Though the Denver defense is not going to remind anyone of San Antonio's, the Nuggets have more than enough to contain the Pelicans motley crew.
Prop Play: Play Under New Orleans for total points
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers – Boston Over/Under 105 Points (-110), Portland Over/Under 108 Points (-110)
Currently, both these clubs on 4-0 'under' runs and the total has really fell from 216.5 to 213. This is partly why we think both teams will be susceptible to a lower scoring contest and we are taking each club to fall below their respective number. Boston was blasted 114-90 at the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday and they are 11-2 'under' after a game with 15 or less assist the last three seasons. With Portland having lost in Bean-Town 116-93 back on March 3rd, they are 17-7 'under' at home revenging a same season loss since last year, averaging 104.6 PPG.
Prop Play: Play Under's on Celtics and Blazers for Game Points
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers – C.J. McCollum Over/Under 26.5 for Points-Rebounds-Assists (-120)
Portland's C.J. McCollum is highly sought after in fantasy leagues both in season-long one's or daily leagues for his multiple skill set where he's like a tool belt, having everything you need. However, of late, McCollum's shooting has been off a touch, connecting on 41.4 percent compared to season average of 44.3% in his past five contests. This has dropped his scoring a couple points and he's realized this and has handed out a few more dimes. Maybe his shooting eye returns, but we lack the confidence to say that until we know it is factual and will call for McCollum to come just short for this prop wager.
Prop Play: C.J. McCollum Over/Under 26.5 for Points-Rebounds-Assists (-120)