Best NBA Parlays Today: Picks, Predictions for Friday's Games
Get your green beer ready, we've got a Chicago Bulls same game parlay to bet on? Jon Metler shares two of his favorite NBA same-game parlays for Friday's games using the latest NBA odds.
Since it's St. Patrick's Day and the Chicago River has been dyed green, it only seems appropriate to wager on a Chicago Bulls same game parlay.
With the Bulls' Nikola Vucevic facing Minnesota Timberwolves center Rudy Gobert, one of the best defenders in the NBA, why are we backing Vucevic to go Over his points total?
Here are our NBA SGP picks for Friday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).
Friday's NBA SGP picks
|Timberwolves-Bulls||Vucevic Over 17.5 points, Conley Over 10.5 points||+247|
|Wizards-Cavaliers||Mitchell Over 4.5 assists, Porzingis Over 20.5 points||+307|
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Timberwolves vs. Bulls odds
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NBA SGP predictions: Timberwolves vs. Bulls
Nikola Vucevic Over 17.5 points vs. Timberwolves (-108)
I'm not sure what FanDuel is thinking with this line, but I'll support them with a bet on the Over at -108. FanDuel's -108 is just out there chilling on the market while BetMGM, DraftKings, and Caesars all have their juice at -130 or higher on this line.
As we've seen throughout the season, there's actually nice value on the Over for centers facing Rudy Gobert. Gobert is well known as an elite defender, so the market tends to look at the Under here.
We can price the Over 17.5 points at -145, much closer to where Vucevic is trading outside of FanDuel, because Vucevic is projected to score 19.4 points against the Timberwolves on Friday.
Mike Conley Over 10.5 points vs. Bulls (-120)
At -120 via FanDuel, this is an excellent bet, but you can make it even better by placing a straight bet at DraftKings on Mike Conley's Over 10.5 points at -110. Although same game parlays can be fun, I always recommend shopping around and placing a straight bet on these props.
We can price this prop at -130 since the Timberwolves point guard is projected to score 11.8 points against the Bulls. It wouldn't surprise me if we see this line move to 11.5 points for Conley prior to tip-off.
NBA SGP predictions: Wizards vs. Cavaliers
Donovan Mitchell Over 4.5 assists vs. Wizards (+122)
My fight against trends continues on Friday, as we look to play the Over on Donovan Mitchell's assist prop despite him not going Over the total of 4.5 assists in six straight games. With the numbers I'm seeing, I'd still bet on the Over if it was 10 straight games.
The Over should not be trading at a plus price, and FanDuel has one of the best prices on the market, second only to DraftKings which is trading the Over at +125 (straight bet).
Mitchell is projected to drop 5.2 dimes against the Wizards, so we can price this prop at -140, which is substantially different from FanDuel's +122. The expected value of this bet is 29% based on our projections.
Kristaps Porzingis Over 20.5 points vs. Cavaliers (-111)
The Over for Kristaps Porzingis' points total made it into our NBA best bets article, with the bet being Over 20.5 points (-110) at DraftKings. I placed this bet at DraftKings when the Washington Wizards center was trading at -122 on FanDuel, which initially prevented me from using him for the same game parlay. Once FanDuel adjusted Porzingis' price to -111, it was game on for including him in the same game parlay.
It's projected that Porzingis will score 22.2 points against the Cavaliers on Friday, which is well above his FanDuel total of 20.5 points. The projection of 22.2 points means Porzingis' total of 20.5 points can be priced at -130.
NBA player prop picks made 03/17/2023 at 9:30 a.m. ET.
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