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LeBron James of the Los Angeles Lakers backs in on Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks during a game in Los Angeles, California. Photo by Harry How /Getty Images via AFP.
LeBron James of the Los Angeles Lakers backs in on Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks during a game in Los Angeles, California. Photo by Harry How /Getty Images via AFP.

It's a light schedule on Tuesday in the NBA with only five games on the slate – but there's plenty to like on the NBA player props board. Jon Metler has selected five of his favorite NBA player props for Tuesday's games using the latest NBA odds

I can tell you for free that no one likes this parlay more than me (except perhaps for our SEO team, because it's filled with superstar players.) It has been a long time since I've seen props involving LeBron James and Nikola Jokic pointing to the Over on the same night. 

There are no scrubs today in the same game parlay after suffering through watching Harrison Barnes get his 20,000 steps in but only scoring eight points on Monday night. We're coming for a win on Tuesday!

Here are our NBA SGP picks for Tuesday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).

NBA SGP picks for Tuesday

  • Darius Garland 6+ assists vs. Heat (-310)
  • Julius Randle 2+ assists vs. Lakers (-1150)
  • LeBron James 4+ rebounds vs. Knicks (-1350)
  • LaMelo Ball 4+ rebounds vs. Bucks (-490)
  • Nikola Jokic 8+ rebounds vs. Pelicans (-600)

Combined odds: +121

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Lakers vs. Knicks odds

Check out our complete list of NBA odds here!

NBA SGP predictions

Darius Garland 6+ assists vs. Heat (-310)

In terms of NBA player props, it's no secret that I'm a huge fan of the assists market, and Garland is one of my favorite players when it comes to creating offense. When Garland is showing value, it's an automatic bet for me. With Garland projected to have just over eight assists on Tuesday, the alternate total of 6+ assists should trade at -475 rather than -310. 

Julius Randle 2+ assists vs. Lakers (-1150)

As I'm sure he hasn't forgotten about the time he was traded to the New Orleans Pelicans for Anthony Davis, Randle will play Tuesday against the Los Angeles Lakers with a little extra bounce. It wouldn't surprise me if Randle blows past all of his totals, but the betting value is in his assists. I have 2+ assists priced at -1560, yet we can purchase it at -1150. 

LeBron James 4+ rebounds vs. Knicks (-1350)

LeBron didn't sit out Monday's game against the Brooklyn Nets just to be passive against the New York Knicks on Tuesday. He wanted to make sure his body was ready for Madison Square Garden, and we all know that. The projected rebound total for James against the Knicks is just over eight, which means we can price this prop at -1625. 

LaMelo Ball 4+ rebounds vs. Bucks (-490)

Ball has averaged 5.5 rebounds per game on the season, which is also his total on Tuesday at FanDuel, and we expect him to surpass this number. After returning from injury, Ball has grabbed 18 rebounds over his last two games, and projections indicate that he will grab 6.6 boards on Tuesday. This allows us to price ball at -610 for four or more rebounds, giving us an edge over FanDuel's -490 price point. 

Nikola Jokic 8+ rebounds vs. Pelicans (-600) 

I know everyone will feel comfortable adding a Jokic rebounding prop to their parlay. I see Jokic projected for 12 rebounds Tuesday, which means 8+ rebounds should trade at -660, but we can get it at -600. When it comes to any Jokic prop, you're only going to get the slightest of edges. 

NBA player prop picks made 01/31/2023 at 10 a.m. ET.

Why is this a good NBA SGP?

It's rare to hear the words same-game parlay and positive expected value in the same sentence, but let us compare our price with that of FanDuel. 

By parlaying all of our prices together, we arrive at a price point of -120. However, FanDuel offers us this parlay at a price of +121. Therefore, this bet has a positive expected value of 21%.

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