Scoring, Assist & Rebound Leader Picks: Harden, Simmons & Drummond

Tuesday, October 9, 2018 10:37 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 9, 2018 10:37 PM UTC

The 2018-19 NBA season is just about here! Today, we examine Bovada props to lead the three major individual statistical categories for the year.

The new NBA season tips off Tuesday with two games and then most of the rest of the league starting the next night. Let’s take a final look at Bovada odds to lead the league in the three triple-double categories.

Points Per Game Leader

On the way to winning his first league MVP Award, Houston’s James Harden won his first scoring title as well in 2017-18 at 30.4 points per game. He’s +300 co-favorite to repeat with New Orleans big man Anthony Davis. Harden is the only player to be a unanimous All-NBA First Team selection in each of the past two seasons. Since joining the Rockets in 2012-13, Harden scored 30+ points a league-high 185 times

Guards have won the past four scoring titles in Harden, Russell Westbrook twice and Stephen Curry. It’s becoming more and more of a three-point shooting league.

Davis, a power forward, finished second last year at a career-high 28.1 ppg and really dominated once DeMarcus Cousins went down with a season-ending injury – and Cousins is no longer with the Pelicans. It’s clearly Davis’ show, but the only worry you have about him is injuries and getting enough games to qualify. To lead the league in scoring, a player must play 70 percent of his team’s games. So that’s 58 in an 82-game season. Davis has played at least that many in every season but never close to 82.

Interestingly, Westbrook is way down at +2000 on this prop because he’s not likely to be ready for the season opener due to injury. LeBron James is a +650 third-favorite, followed by Giannis Antetokounmpo (+700). LeBron likely be more of a facilitator with his new Lakers teammates than scorer.

Free NBA Pick: Harden.

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Watch More #NBAPlaymakers: https://t.co/pflTmU4dqs pic.twitter.com/hfdvROTwkr

— NBA (@NBA) October 9, 2018
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Assists Per Game Leader

On his way to averaging another triple-double, Westbrook led the NBA in assists last year at 10.3 per game. He’s +270 to repeat behind Washington’s John Wall (+150) even though Wall has yet to lead the league in this category. He finished second a season ago at 9.6 dimes per game and second in 2016-17 (behind Harden) at 10.7 per game.

Philadelphia’s Ben Simmons is at +600, with Chris Paul at +650 and Harden +700. We know Simmons won’t be looking for his shot much because he can’t shoot the ball outside the lane. He was fifth last year in assists at 8.2 per game. Lonzo Ball is interesting at +1100, but he’s going to share time with Rajon Rondo (+1200) on the Lakers. Plus, we all know that LeBron is going to be the main ball-handler.

Utah Jazz Hall of Famer John Stockton holds the record for assists per game at 14.5 in 1989-90. The closest any active player has gotten to that is Rondo’s 11.7 in 2011-12.

Free NBA Pick: Simmons

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— Gerg (@GergAnimation) October 9, 2018
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Rebounds Per Game Leader

Pistons center Andre Drummond averaged a career-high 16 rebounds per game last season, and he’s the +150 favorite to win the title for a third time. He also led in 2015-16. The Pistons don’t ask him to do much else in all honesty. Drummond’s 1,247 total rebounds last year were second in franchise history behind Dennis Rodman’s 1,530 in 1991-92.

Among active players, Drummond ranks second in most consecutive 1,000-rebound seasons. First is multiple-time rebound champion Dwight Howard with six. Howard is +900 on this prop and now with the Wizards, but already is dealing with back problems.

DeAndre Jordan is a +300 second-favorite. He won the rebounding crown in 2013-14 & ’14-15 with the Clippers. Jordan signed a one-year deal this offseason with the Dallas Mavericks. Minnesota’s Karl-Anthony Towns (+750), the Pelicans’ Davis (+800), Utah’s Rudy Gobert (+800) and Miami's Hassan Whiteside (+900) round out the favorites.

Free NBA Pick: Drummond at Bovada.

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