Savvy NBA Pick Alert: Give the Points with Timberwolves +9 as Warriors Win, but Fail to Cover Spread

David Lawrence

Wednesday, February 11, 2015 12:11 PM GMT

Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2015 12:11 PM GMT

The Golden State Warriors are expected to roll towards a win against Minnesota Timberwolves but have looked like a fatigued team of late, so can they cover a big NBA betting spread in this spot?

The Golden State Warriors Can Win Because…
Their level of play on Monday against the Philadelphia 76ers was horrible. The Warriors played decent defense, but they were lousy on offense. Golden State forced 27 turnovers from the Sixers, showing that the Warriors were active and attentive. However, on offense, Golden State was not very precise. The team hit only 40 percent of all its shots, and made only 7 of 29 three-pointers. Golden State got only six offensive rebounds and generated only 10 free throws from its starting five. Draymond Green and Harrison Barnes didn’t take a single free throw in the game. The Splash Brothers, Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, combined to hit 11 of 34 shots, just under 33 percent. They were 4 of 18 from three-point land, under 25 percent. Golden State was far below its normal standards in this game. Forget the fact that the Warriors won the game. The larger point is that it’s very hard to see how this team will play nearly as poorly in this game. The Warriors have set too high a standard to fall below it in consecutive games. This team had a day off on Tuesday, which it very probably needed. Given that little bit of a break, this team should be focused and ready to perform at a higher level against a Minnesota team that’s been at the very bottom of the Western Conference for some time now.

Golden State is still 7-3 in its last 10 games and is still the best team in the NBA. This looks like the perfect spot for them to get well right before the All-Star break.

Read our valuable preview for tonight's valuable matchup between Pacers & Pelicans. 

The Minnesota Timberwolves Can Win Because…
They're playing a Golden State team that seems to be dealing with the reality that the long push to the All-Star break is almost over. You can sense that while Golden State is still doing fairly well on defense, guys such as Harrison Barnes and Draymond Green aren’t scoring as consistently. Green in particular has thrown in some single-digit scoring performances over the past week and a half, and this is making Golden State a more ordinary team at times. This team isn’t completely breaking down or imploding – far from it. Yet, this team is not spanking the opposition with the forcefulness and consistency it showed when it raced to the top of the Western Conference in the first two months of the season and then stayed there in January. The Warriors beat New York on Saturday, but they still allowed a 16-0 run to the Knicks to make that game more interesting than it should have been. Minnesota – which played the Atlanta Hawks tough for two and a half quarters on Monday, can play Golden State tough for four quarters if the Warriors don’t hit their shots.

 

Outlook
The Warriors know they got away with one on Monday against Philadelphia but they don’t care about ATS wins and losses, they care about straight-up wins and losses. That being the case, take the Timberwolves with your NBA picks (plus the 10 points). Golden State should win the game but Minnesota has won three of four and had some pep in their step.

NBA Pick: Timberwolves +9 at Bovada

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