Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream
One night after getting taught a thing or two by the Sparks at home, the Sky try to bounce back immediately on the road in Atlanta.
The Dream will be favored by five points or so for tonight's contest, with the O/U at 158.5.
So far this season, Atlanta has gone 4-3 SU, but they've only managed to cover the spread in two of their seven games for backers. That being said, they looked strong as ever in their 93-85 home victory over Los Angeles on Tuesday.
It was the Erika de Souza show in that win, as she posted a career-high 27 points on 13-of-18 shooting to go along with 11 rebounds and two blocks. Sancho Lyttle (18/12/4) and Angel McCoughtry (14/5/4 with three steals) were also highly effective, as the Dream shot 53.4 percent overall versus the Sparks.
A similar effort will be needed against a Chicago squad that's been scoring points for fun this season. They fell at home to the Sparks (88-102) last night, despite a career night from Elena Delle Donne, who had 33 points and 14 rebounds, but have still put up 81.8 PPG on average.
Tonight we expect the Sky to be much better on both ends, especially since Jessica Breland and Courtney Vandersloot struggled quite a bit. We doubt they'll combine for only eight points again versus an Atlanta team that's allowing 81.6 PPG (11th in the WNBA) thus far.
To us, the Dream are getting too much love for their recent win over the Sparks. They're over-valued in our estimation, so we have no qualms about adding the Sky at this kind of number to our WNBA picks, particularly since they've already crushed Atlanta (87-73) once this season.
WNBA Pick: Sky +5
Phoenix Mercury vs. San Antonio Stars
When looking over the available sports betting odds, we once again think there's value in a road team that was beaten up badly last night.
In this case it's the Mercury, who lost by 16 to Tulsa, exactly one week after beating the same team by 22 at home. Welcome to the WNBA.
Phoenix was killed in the paint last night and the only player that was really getting anything going offensively was Diana Taurasi. She was aggressive from the start, finishing with 22 points, three rebounds and three assists while going a perfect 12-of-12 from the line. Still, the Mercury shot just 43.6 percent overall and looked on helplessly as the Shock connected on 51.5 percent.
Let's see if the Mercury can fare better against the Stars, who have had an extra day of rest after beating New York 87-75 on the road.
Sophia Young-Malcom, Danielle Robinson, Kayla McBride, Jia Perkins and Danielle Adams all scored in double figures, with San Antonio also making life difficult on the likes of Tina Charles, Cappie Pondexter and Anna Cruz, who were just 8-of-28 from the field altogether.
After such a dominating road performance, why are we instead picking Phoenix to win and cover tonight? Well, we didn't see much of it last night, but the Mercury are actually one of the few teams that have the balance to match the Stars.
Taurasi, Brittney Griner, Candice Dupree and DeWanna Bonner all average in double figures, making Phoenix a formidable foe for anyone. Plus, it always helps to have the best player on the court and there's no doubt the Mercury hold the edge with Taurasi there. Back Phoenix tonight.
WNBA Pick: Mercury -1.5