Rockets-Mavericks: Trends Scream Dallas Home Cover On Saturday

Matthew Jordan

Friday, December 7, 2018 2:55 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 7, 2018 2:55 PM UTC

The Dallas Mavericks have lost four straight home games vs. the rival Houston Rockets, but that may end Saturday night. Bet confidently with tips from SBRpicks.com.

Houston (11-13 SU, 9-15 ATS) at Dallas (12-11 SU, 15-8 ATS)Saturday, 6 p.m. ETFree NBA Pick: Mavs ATSBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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A nine-game schedule around the NBA on Saturday, and the first tipoff is 6 p.m. ET from Dallas as the Mavericks welcome the rival Houston Rockets for the first time this season.

Raise your hand if you thought that Dallas would have a better record than Houston on Dec. 8, 2018!? Yeah, didn’t think so. Last year, the Rockets won an NBA- and franchise-best 65 games and reached the West Finals. Dallas tied for the third-worst record in the league at 24-58.

So far, Mavs GM Donnie Nelson might be the Executive of the Year for his draft-day trade with Atlanta that landed Dallas European superstar and Rookie of the Year favorite Luka Doncic. The Mavs gave up their 2019 first-round pick to get Doncic, but the more Dallas wins the better that deal looks because the pick gets worse for the Hawks.

Dallas had lost eight straight games to Houston but snapped that in emphatic fashion in H-Town as 5.5-point underdogs on Nov. 28, 128-108. Seven Mavericks scored in double figures, led by 20 from Doncic and backup point guard Devin Harris. In fact, Harris became the first reserve in the modern statistical era (1970-71) to total at least 20 points and four assists in 15-or-fewer minutes. Harris played exactly 15 and had four assists. He was a whopping plus-29 in those 15 minutes. The Dallas bench outscored Houston’s 61-25. The Rockets, who were without Chris Paul, were led by James Harden’s 25 points and 17 assists but also eight turnovers.

Houston has won four straight and six of its past seven in Dallas, however.

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Both Off Ugly Losses

One could perhaps see a lousy effort coming Wednesday in New Orleans for Dallas as it was smoked 132-106. We say that because it was the second of a back-to-back and the only road game for the Mavs in a span of six.

Plus, Dennis Smith Jr. sat out with a right wrist sprain, something he has been dealing with since Nov. 20. He's listed as doubtful Saturday, but Harris and JJ Barea are very capable backups. Doncic played only 22 minutes because of the blowout, and the stud rookie has been dealing with his own ailment or two. No player reached 30 minutes in the loss. Of course, Dallas remains without future Hall of Famer Dirk Nowitzki, yet to play this season due to an ankle injury, but he’s inching closer. He won’t debut Saturday but apparently soon.

This concludes a three-game trip for Houston, which is 0-2 following a 118-91 loss in Utah on Thursday; the Rockets also were held to 91 points in a 12-point loss in Minnesota on Monday. Harden had a season-low 15 points vs. the Jazz but at least only played 28 minutes. Paul had 12 points in 25. The Rockets had a season-high 22 turnovers and allowed Utah to score 33 points off them (season-high points off TOs for an opponent). The Rockets gave up more than 100 points for the 10th consecutive game.

  • Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Mavericks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

Houston has covered its past four in Dallas, but those two trends above pretty much say it all. The Rockets are simply broken right now. Go Mavericks for a Saturday NBA pick.

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