Replenished Cavaliers a Tough Pick in Miami

cavaliers heat

Jason Lake

Tuesday, March 27, 2018 11:25 AM UTC

Tuesday, Mar. 27, 2018 11:25 AM UTC

Here we are again with the Cleveland Cavaliers on the upswing. Are they the right NBA pick for Tuesday’s game at the Miami Heat, or is it all smoke and mirrors?

Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami HeatFree NBA Pick: Over 218.5Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Finally, the Cleveland Cavaliers have it all figured out. With Kevin Love back from injury and starting at center, the Cavs are on a five-game winning streak at 4-1 ATS, clinching a playoff spot in the process. But they can’t afford to take it easy if they want home-court advantage in the opening round; as we go to press, Cleveland (44-29 SU, 26-46-1 ATS) is only 1.5 games ahead of the Indiana Pacers for first place in the Central Division and fifth in the Eastern Conference.

The Miami Heat (39-35 SU, 37-31-6 ATS) have even less room for error. They’re 1.5 games behind the Washington Wizards for first in the Southeast and sixth in the East, but more important Miami is 4.5 games up on the Detroit Pistons for the eighth and final playoff spot in the conference. That should be plenty of motivation for Tuesday’s game (8 p.m. ET, TNT) against the visiting Cavs, who are laying four points on the NBA odds board. The Heat will be on!

When Love Comes to Town

Not so fast, Fukui-san. This is Cleveland’s first go-around with Love (plus-1.2 BPM) joining their new-look lineup, and as they often do the Cavaliers have found that special gear where they look unbeatable. Still, the fine folks at FiveThirtyEight project Miami as a 2-point home fave, and the Cavs will be missing three swingmen on Tuesday: Kyle Korver (0.0 BPM), Jeff Green (minus-2.4 BPM) and Cedi Osman (minus-3.5 BPM).

Unfortunately for the Heat, they won’t have Hassan Whiteside (minus-0.1 BPM) at center against Cleveland. Their defensive cornerstone has missed the last eight games to a strained left hip flexor; with rookie Bam Adebayo (plus-0.2 BPM) in the starting rotation, and Kelly Olynyk (plus-2.7 BPM) playing a larger role off the bench, Miami has managed to tread water in Whiteside’s absence at 4-4 SU and 4-3-1 ATS. Olynyk probably matches up better against Love anyway. They have something of a history, as you might recall.


After much consideration, let’s not risk putting either of these teams in our NBA picks. The OVER looks like the right choice, going 5-2-1 for Miami without Whiteside on the court and 4-1 during Cleveland’s win streak. Both teams will be rested, so throw another betting unit on the barbie, and may the sphere be with you.

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