Raptors vs. Rockets - NBA Free Pick, November 14th

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, November 14, 2017 7:28 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2017 7:28 PM UTC

The one and only non-conference game on the slate tonight is the Raptors paying a visit to Houston to play the Rockets. Houston is coming off beating down the Pacers on the road, and tonight they are -6 ½ favorites in the NBA Odds, with a total of 219 points.

Raptors vs. Rockets

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 Free NBA Pick: OVER 218 ½Best Line Offered: at BetOnline  

So far this season the Rockets have hosted two Eastern Conference teams in Houston, and the over has cashed in both of them. Now tonight with a solid defensive team in the Raptors coming to town, the result still might be the same.

Toronto has cashed the over in four of their last six games, and they are 3-0 cashing the over in their last three games against Western Conference opponents. Last season with roughly the same iterations of these teams, the over cashed in both of their meetings, including a 115-102 game in Houston, and a 129-122 game in Toronto.

Toronto and Houston are both playing at roughly the same pace this season, and both have been very efficient on offense, averaging 112 and 110 points per 100 possessions. If the Rockets push the pace more at home, where they play almost 101 possessions per game, the over is a great play between these two offensive powerhouses.

Coming into this one, the Rockets are averaging more than 120 points per game over their last five contests, and their scoring may even improve against a spotty Raptors defense.

There is also the issue of Norman Powell probably missing this game. Powell would have been the key defender on James Harden, and now that will have to go to DeMar DeRozan, C.J. Miles, and rookie OG Anunoby. Neither of these guys are a great option lining up opposite of Harden, and that could lead to even more points and assists for the Rockets’ MVP candidate.

All in all, the over is the play here. The last two meetings of these teams had paces of well over 100 possessions per game, and considering the game is in Houston, I see 220 or more points tonight as the correct NBA pick.

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