Raptors Seek Double-Up vs. Clippers: NBA Betting

Jason Lake

Monday, December 11, 2017 1:13 PM UTC

Monday, Dec. 11, 2017 1:13 PM UTC

The Toronto Raptors beat the NBA odds on Sunday in Sacramento against the pesky Kings. Can they keep it up when they visit the Los Angeles Clippers this Monday night?

Free Pick: Raptors –5 (–106)
Best Line: Pinnacle

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We’re due for a reckoning here at the home office. The Toronto Raptors (17-7 SU, 14-10 ATS) have been one of our go-to NBA picks for years now, and even more so since Masai Ujiri took over as GM in 2013. As we go to press, the Raptors are coming off a 102-87 road win over the Sacramento Kings, cashing in as 9-point favorites – just like nature intended.

But this Monday, the Raptors play another team we’ve been touting recently, the Los Angeles Clippers (9-15 SU, 10-14 ATS). The Clippers have opened as 5.5-point home dogs on the NBA odds board; tip-off is at 10:30 p.m. Eastern on NBA-TV. What’s a bettor to do? Let’s dig deep, peel back the layers, and get to know the real story behind the basketball lines.

If you’ve spent any serious time betting on the NBA, you know what the Raptors are all about by this point. Nobody south of the 49th Parallel has been paying much attention since Vince Carter skipped town – although the Raps are about to appear on NBA-TV again, after getting plenty of love on last week’s Players Only broadcast. Ujiri has done a marvelous job of improving this team around the edges through the draft and smart offseason moves. Jakob Poeltl (plus-2.8 BPM), Pascal Siakam (plus-2.5 BPM) and OG Anunoby (plus-2.4 BPM) are already playing at a high level. So was Delon Wright (plus-1.9 BPM) before he dislocated his right shoulder last month.

The idea behind jumping on the Clippers was to take advantage of the betting market over-reacting to Blake Griffin’s sprained knee. We may have jumped the gun picking them in last Wednesday’s game against the Minnesota Timberwolves, Danilo Gallinari’s first game back off the injured list, but it was a close one with the Wolves (–5.5 at home) winning 113-107 after Gallinari shot 2-for-13 in his return. He was much better three days later against the Washington Wizards, shooting 8-of-19 as L.A. won 113-112 as 2-point home dogs.

With that in mind, here’s the big question for Monday’s game: Will Milos Teodosic play for the Clippers? It’s looking good at press time, although he’s officially listed as questionable after missing over a month with a plantar fascia injury. Teodosic is an incredibly important player going forward for the Clippers, especially with fellow point guard Nick Beverley (knee) out for the season, but this time, we’re going to temper our expectations and recommend fading the Clippers if Teodosic does play. If he doesn’t, consider giving the rested Clips a follow as they play a Toronto team playing the second leg of back-to-back road games. He wouldn’t miss his own Bobblehead Night, would he?

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