Put ‘Under’ In Your NBA Picks When Magic Visit Knicks

Monday, February 25, 2019 11:40 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 25, 2019 11:40 PM UTC

The ‘under’ is 17-12 for the New York Knicks at home – and for the Orlando Magic on the road. Looks like Tuesday’s NBA pick is in the bag.

<p style="text-align:right"><strong><em>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks: 12-12 ATS, 0-3 ML (minus-8.35 units), 17-8 Totals</em></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/orlando-magic-vs-new-york-knicks-3569836/odds/" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Orlando (28-33 SU, 33-27-1 ATS) at New York (12-48 SU, 25-34-1 ATS)</a><br />Tuesday, 7:30 p.m. ET<br />Free NBA Pick: Under<br />Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4435&amp;book=Pinnacle" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Sportsbook!">Pinnacle</a></strong></p><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3569836, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,19,1096,999996], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>I come here to praise the New York Knicks, not to bury them for destroying us on the moneyline. <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/tanks-ahoy-take-the-home-team-for-knicks-hawks/88783/" target="_blank" title="Tanks Ahoy! Take The Home Team For Knicks-Hawks">We faded the Knicks</a> ML when they visited the Atlanta Hawks before the break, and <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/gluttons-for-punishment-fade-knicks-ml-versus-spurs/88904/" target="_blank" title="Gluttons for Punishment: Fade Knicks ML Versus Spurs">we faded them again</a> when they hosted the San Antonio Spurs last Sunday. The Knicks won both, of course. Good for them.<br /><br />We’d fade them a third time if we thought it was the right <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/" target="_blank" title="More NBA Picks">NBA pick</a>. But we’ve got a better game plan in mind for Tuesday’s home tilt with the Orlando Magic. This time, the value is with the ‘under,’ which is 17-12 thus far when the Knicks play at home – and also when the Magic play on the road. There’s a total of 215.5 points on the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/" target="_blank" title="Live NBA Odds Board">NBA odds board</a> as we go to press, up from 214.5 at the open, so we’re already getting a bargain price, too.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Knicks fans to all the teams that passed on Mitchell Robinson &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/EcPlazntPb\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/EcPlazntPb&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— NYK-NYJ-NYY-4LIFE (@knicksjets4life) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/knicksjets4life/status/1099878112844828672?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;25 de fevereiro de 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2><strong>That Mitchell and Khem Look</strong></h2><p>Then again, early money is supposed to be sharp money. Why would we go against the grain here? Actually, the consensus figures at press time show 100-percent support for the ‘under.’ Maybe the books are shading the total a little closer to the sharp side, as the books have been known to do. The mythical “recreational” bettor loves to take the ‘over,’ right?<br /><br />We’re definitely avoiding the moneyline this time – and the spread, too. FiveThirtyEight project the Magic as 7-point road faves; they’re either –6.5 or –7 on the odds board, depending on where you shop, so there’s not much profit margin waiting to be scooped up on either side. That leaves us with the total, and while we don’t have projections for that (check Jeff Sagarin’s stat-nerd projections over at <em>The USA Today</em> once they come out for Tuesday’s games), the betting trends look good for the ‘under’ in this matchup.</p><p>Credit where credit is due: The Knicks have themselves a genuine defensive tag-team in the paint, with centers DeAndre Jordan (plus-2.3 DBPM) and Mitchell Robinson (plus-5.5 DBPM). They’re both competent two-way players, but it’s their defense that really shines, especially in Robinson’s case. PF Noah Vonleh (plus-2.0 DBPM) is strong at that end, too. Good thing, because Jordan is doubtful for Tuesday with a sprained left ankle. The Magic, of course, have All-Star Nikola Vucevic (plus-3.5 DBPM) at center. But they also have Khem Birch (plus-3.6 DBPM) backing him up, and Jonathan Issac (plus-2.3 DBPM) playing alongside at power forward. So much defense – and not much scoring from Birch and Issac, either. Let’s see how high that total will get, and in the meantime, may the sphere be with you.</p>
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