Put The ‘Under’ In Your NBA Picks for Warriors-Sixers

Friday, March 1, 2019 9:06 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 1, 2019 9:06 PM UTC

The Philadelphia 76ers might have Joel Embiid back for Saturday’s game against the Golden State Warriors. It’s a tough NBA pick – but we’re going ‘under.’

<p style="text-align:right"><em>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record through Feb. 28: 15-14-1 ATS, 0-4 ML (minus-9.35 units), 18-8 Totals</em></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Golden State (43-19 SU, 25-36-1 ATS) at Philadelphia (40-22 SU, 29-33 ATS)</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Saturday, 8:30 p.m. ET, ABC</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NBA Pick: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/golden-state-warriors-vs-philadelphia-76ers-3569932/odds/">Under</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4429&amp;book=Heritage" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Heritage</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3569932, "sportsbooksIds":[169,999993,19,1096,1275], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>They did it to us again. <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/no-embiid-no-boban-no-hope-for-philly-versus-okc/88976/">We faded the Philadelphia 76ers</a> for Thursday’s game against the Oklahoma City Thunder – then Paul George was held out of the OKC lineup with a sore shoulder, and Philadelphia won 108-104 as 4-point road dogs. This is why we keep saying you should wait until the morning shoot-around before making your <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/">NBA picks</a>. Sheesh.<br /><br />That goes double for Saturday’s game between the Sixers and the Golden State Warriors. Joel Embiid may or may not suit up for Philly in this one; there’s nothing on the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/">NBA odds board</a> as we go to press, but we’re willing to make a preliminary recommendation for the ‘under.’ Taking either side against the spread doesn’t seem terribly wise at this point.</p><h2> </h2><h2><strong>Embiggen With Embiid</strong></h2><p>Thursday’s win over the Thunder was the first time the Sixers covered in the four games Embiid (plus-1.4 OBPM, plus-2.0 DBPM) has missed recovering from a sore left knee. With Boban Marjanovic (plus-0.2 OBPM, plus-1.6 DBPM) also on the shelf, Philly remain vulnerable to any team with a beefy lineup at center.<br /><br />The Warriors are one of those teams. They’ve got DeMarcus Cousins (minus-0.7 OBPM, plus-2.9 DBPM) and Kevon Looney (plus-1.6 OBPM, plus-1.7 DBPM) manning the middle, two gentlemen you don’t want to mess with. But the Warriors don’t have the same betting value they did in the first few games Cousins played; they went 6-4 SU and 4-6 ATS in February. Too bad Embiid is hurt – even if he plays in this matchup, he’s probably not going to be at full strength, giving us little reason to pick either side ATS.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>My Dinner With Andre</strong></h2><p>So why the ‘under’ when Philly’s defensive stoppers are on the shelf? Because it’s 3-1 so far with Embiid out of action – small sample size notwithstanding. More fundamentally, it’s because center Amir Johnson (minus-1.5 OBPM, plus-0.7 DBPM) has gotten more minutes off the bench, and the Sixers are already a viable ‘under’ pick after the Tobias Harris trade. So many scorers, just one basketball.<br /><br />[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;November 15th, 2008 was the Sixers last win against the Thunder: &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Here was the starting lineup: &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;PG: Andre Miller &lt;br /&gt;SG: Andre Iguodala&lt;br /&gt;SF: Thaddeus Young&lt;br /&gt;PF: Elton Brand (GM)&lt;br /&gt;C: Samuel Dalembert&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Time flies folks.&lt;/p&gt;— The Phifth Quarter (@ThePhifthQ) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/ThePhifthQ/status/1101157012140896257?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;February 28, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]<br /><br />We also anticipate both teams will put in that extra effort on defense, since they’ll be on prime-time national television. And it looks like Andre Iguodala (plus-0.4 OBPM, plus-1.5 DBPM) will play for Golden State after missing Thursday’s game against Orlando with an undisclosed illness. Iguodala might have some extra sauce waiting for his former team, too. Let’s keep the bet size small with all the question marks surrounding this game; again, wait for the shoot-around before pulling the trigger, and may the sphere be with you.</p>
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