We beat the bookies like a red headed stepchild last night! Can we keep the momentum going tonight after hitting on eight of our last 11 prop betting picks? Find out here with more NBA prop picks!
Kyle Lowry O/U 32.5 points, rebounds and assists
Usually in big games the star players shine, and that is exactly what is going to happen tonight in the Pacers and Raptors game. Back at home, and with the series tied two games apiece, I expect Kyle Lowry to come out and have a big game. The Raptors not only need it in the scoring column though, they need him setting up his teammates as well. The Raptors are almost unstoppable when Lowry is not only getting 20 points per game, but also setting up his teammates for easy shots.
This is evidenced by the regular season. The Raptors were 18-8 SU in the regular season when Lowry had at least eight assists. In games where he had double-digit assists, they were 7-2 SU. In these playoffs the two games they lost Lowry had seven and five assists. In the two games they won, he had a combined 17. I expect Lowry to try and get to that eight or nine assists platform tonight, and that should be enough to get him over the 32 points, rebounds and assists mark here tonight. He is already rebounding the ball well with four per game this series, and as long as he gets that, along with his usual 20 points, this prop should go over the NBA Odds.
My Pick: Over 32.5 -115
DeMar DeRozan O/U 6 made free throws
There have already been two games in this series where DeMar DeRozan has been shut out from the free throw line, which is a very important part of his game. It has happened in Indiana and in Toronto, so it doesn’t have anything to do with the home team getting fouls. It has to do with the excellent and professional defense from Paul George, and I expect that to continue here tonight.
DeRozan’s game is predicated on getting to the foul line. If he isn’t getting fouls called, he isn’t half the player he projects to be in this series. He is already not shooting well from the line when he gets there at 73 percent, which is no better than average. Combine that with the fact he isn’t getting fouls called, and you have a nice recipe for the under here, so let's take that as one of our NBA Picks.
My Pick: Under 6 -130
Evan Turner O/U 24 points, rebounds and assists
Evan Turner has played very well in the two games in Boston, and he is going to be a crucial part of the Celtics plans for tonight if they plan on getting a win in Atlanta. He played well in the last two games in Boston, scoring 17 points in each game, and dishing out 13 assists combined in those two. With Isaiah Thomas tasked with more of the scoring load, Turner well have to be a playmaker. With his ability to grab five or six rebounds as well, there are many paths that he can cash the over in this prop.
Even in Game 1 where he didn’t play as much as he has in Games 2-4, Turner still had a combined 23 points, rebounds and assists, and after a poor showing from the entire Celtics team in Game 2, he has cashed the over on this prop in two straight games. I expect him to make it a third tonight with a line somewhere around 15 points, five rebounds and five assists, so ill take the Over at the -115 odds offered by Bovada.
My Pick: Over 24 -115