Sportsbook Review uses cookies to help us provide, protect & improve our services in accordance with our Privacy & Cookies policy, which includes details of how you can change your cookie settings.

Top Expert NBA Prop Picks for Wednesday

profile image of sbr
Top Expert NBA Prop Picks for Wednesday
Portland Trail Blazers PG Damian Lillard shoots a 3-pointer. Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images via AFP.

Portland Trail Blazers PG Damian Lillard and Memphis Grizzlies PG Ja Morant are among the NBA stars in action on Wednesday, as we look at the top team and player prop bets.

Here’s a look at the top NBA team and player props for Wednesday’s 10-game schedule from our team of betting experts.

NBA Team Prop Picks

Orlando Magic Under 105.5 points (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook) – Rainman M.
New Orleans Pelicans Under 54.5 first-half points (-115 at BetMGM) – Jordan Sharp
Brooklyn Nets Under 110.5 points (-106 at FanDuel Sportsbook) – Scott Kacsmar

NBA Player Prop Picks

Morant Over 25.5 points (-118 at FanDuel) – Rainman
Ivica Zubac Under 8.5 rebounds (-110 at BetMGM) – Sharp
Lillard Over 28.5 points (-104 at FanDuel) – Kacsmar

SEE ALSO: Hawks vs. Pelicans NBA Picks

Top Expert Team Prop Picks

Magic Under 105.5 points (-115) – Rainman

I see zero reason to stop riding this Magic “Under” prop as it continues to be a money-maker. Orlando failed to reach 100 points in three of its four games. In addition to dearths in player quality and experience, the Magic are making the unusual decision to attempt more threes. It’s weird because the numbers show that they lack efficient shooters. Expect lots of bricks again Wednesday.

Pelicans Under 54.5 first-half points (-115) – Sharp

I tried to fade the Pelicans earlier this week to no avail, but that isn’t stopping me from trying again on Wednesday. The Pelicans offense has been woefully inadequate without F Zion Williamson and that may continue against the Atlanta Hawks. 

Through their first three games of the season, the Hawks own the fifth-best first-half defensive rating and with the Pelicans averaging only 95 points per 100 possessions in the first halves of their four games, the Under has some great value. I could easily see the Hawks holding the Pelicans to fewer than 50 points at the half, so 55 is a stretch. 

Atlanta has a game Thursday, as well, so there is some incentive for the Hawks to lock down and blow out the Pels early if possible so they can maximize second half to rest for tomorrow’s game against the Washington Wizards.

Nets Under 110.5 points (-106) – Kacsmar

The Over is a combined 1-6 in games involving one of these teams this season (0-4 in Brooklyn’s case). Neither of these teams rank in the top 10 in offensive rating or pace, and the Nets are just 21st in offensive rating despite having two all-time great scorers.

The Heat are No. 1 in defensive rating (92.7) and have yet to allow any opponent to score more than 95 points in regulation. I like this to be a low-scoring game and a tighter affair than most of the games these two teams have played this season.

Top Expert Player Prop Picks

Morant Over 25.5 points (-118) – Rainman

This point total is still too low for Morant. He has scored 28, 37, and 40 points in three games and benefits from participating in what should be a high-scoring affair against the Trail Blazers. As usual, Portland owns one of the worst scoring defenses. Blazers guards are all about scoring, but pose minimal threat on the defensive end.

Zubac Under 8.5 rebounds (-110) – Sharp

Zubac is one of my favorite per-minute players in the NBA, so fading him is tough tonight. However, with him averaging only 20.7 minutes per game, and with a matchup against the bigger Cleveland Cavaliers starting lineup, Zu Alcindor might see his rebound numbers down a bit. 

Through three games, he is averaging 0.30 rebounds per minute, which is just slightly off his career average of 0.34. Multiplied by 20 minutes, you’re nowhere close to 9 or more rebounds. 

Cleveland has been pretty bad at rebounding so far this season, but matching up against C Jarrett Allen is going to be tough either way for the Clippers’ big man. I see no more than seven or eight boards for Zubac on Wednesday assuming his minutes stay consistent.

Lillard Over 28.5 points (-104) – Kacsmar

Lillard is going through a 3-point shooting slump the likes of which we have not seen from him in his career. He is 2-for-24 from three this season, the worst rate in the league among the 88 players with at least 18 attempts. While I would not feel confident to bet Lillard to hit his Over in threes (4.5) in this game, I trust him enough to score at least 29 points. Portland is No. 1 in pace while the Grizzlies are 30th in defensive rating, 29th in opponent field goal percentage (.489), and 29th in opponent 3-point percentage (.402).

SEE ALSO: Top Expert NHL Prop Picks for Wednesday