NBA capper examines Game 4 between Atlanta & Cleveland. Which of these banged up teams will prevail on Tuesday? Read this enlightening piece to find out and it also includes an ATS NBA pick.
NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 4
The Cavaliers will attempt to close out the Hawks in Cleveland on Tuesday at 8:35 PM ET. According the NBA betting odds at GTBets, Cleveland is an 8.5 point favorite, and the posted total is 193.5. The Cavaliers have a commanding 3-0 series lead following a tougher than expected 114-111 overtime win on Sunday. Cleveland failed to cover as an 8.0 point favorite, and the game easily went over the total of 190.0. As a matter of fact, all three games played between these teams in Cleveland this season have all gone over the total, and averaged a combined 223.7 points scored per contest.
A War of Attrition
The physical health of both teams has become an issue in this series. At the time of this writing, the status of Atlanta starting center Al Horford remains in limbo due to a possible suspension being handed down by the NBA. Horford was ejected in the first half of Game 3 after striking Cleveland’s Mathew Dellavedova in the head.
Atlanta lost sharp shooting Kyle Korver for the remainder of the playoffs after he sustained an ankle injury in Game 2 of this series. In Game 1 of these Eastern Conference Finals, DeMarre Carroll had to leave in what looked to be a serious knee injury. However, he was able to return for Games 2 and 3 but looked far less than 100%.
Cleveland lost star forward Kevin Love for the season after sustaining a dislocated shoulder in their opening round playoff series win over Boston. They’ve also been without the services of starting point guard Kyrie Irving the last two games. Irving is nursing a sprained knee, and is unlikely to play in Game 4 since the Cavaliers currently have a stranglehold on the series. Despite LeBron James being an absolute monster versus Atlanta during the first three games, believe it or not, he’s playing with an ankle injury that occurred earlier in the playoffs, and seemed to be hindering him during the final stretch of Game 3.
NBA Betting Angle
The Atlanta Hawks enter Game 4 with a combined winning percentage of .701 during the regular season in addition to playoffs, and Cleveland comes in at .673. This sets up an extremely profitable NBA betting system that’s withstood the test of time, and one in which I’ll utilize for one of my NBA picks.
Play against any underdog (Atlanta) coming off a straight up loss but ATS win in their previous game, and both teams have a winning percentage of .600 to .750. Siding with the favorite in that exact situation, resulted in going 53-17 ATS (75.6%) since 1996.
NBA Pick: Play on Cleveland -8.0 over Atlanta at GTBets.