Point: Warriors to Cover Huge Number in Game 1 vs. Cavs

Tuesday, May 29, 2018 7:41 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 29, 2018 7:41 PM UTC

Golden State is a heavy home favorite against Cleveland for Game 1 of the NBA Finals on Thursday night. Let’s discuss the opener of the best-of-seven series and keep cashing those tickets.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basketball-betting/" title="NBA Betting Forum">NBA Finals, Game 1: Thursday, 9 p.m. ET (TV: ABC)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/cleveland-cavaliers-vs-golden-state-warriors-3475325/" title="Cavaliers vs. Warriors">Cavaliers (62-38 SU, 40-58-2 ATS) vs. Warriors (70-29 SU, 42-54-3 ATS)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NBA Pick: Warriors -12</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4423&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3475325, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,274,180,999996,19], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><ul> <li>Golden State is 4-1 ATS vs. Cleveland in the last five meetings in Golden State.</li> <li>Golden State is 6-2 ATS vs. Cleveland in their last eight meetings overall.</li> <li>Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games playing on three or more days rest.</li> <li>Cleveland is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.</li> <li>Cleveland is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. Pacific Division teams.</li></ul><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Plan accordingly, &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/DubNation?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#DubNation&lt;/a&gt;!&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/NBAFinals?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#NBAFinals&lt;/a&gt; start Thursday on &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/WarriorsGround?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#WarriorsGround&lt;/a&gt;. &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/HLGmUSHKd1\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/HLGmUSHKd1&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/warriors/status/1001315851159552000?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;May 29, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Perhaps you were as stunned as I to see the line that was hanging on the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/" title="NBA Odds">NBA odds board</a> on the opening game of this final chapter of the NBA season. Yes, the Golden State Warriors are not only a prohibitive favorite in the series at -1050/+675 but are a bitter pill to swallow as 12-point home chalk in Game 1 against the gang from Cleveland. But upon further reflection, it’s not really outrageous at all considering that the bulk, or should I say all, of the Cavaliers' postseason load has rested squarely on the shoulders of LeBron James to take what would otherwise be a pedestrian team at best to the NBA Finals.</p><p>I guess the contention could be made that LeBron and his mates have had an extra day of rest after winning Game 7 of the East finals against the Celtics on Sunday night, whereas the Warriors didn’t punch their championship ticket until the following evening. But if we take a quick look at the trends coming into this contest we see that the extra rest hasn’t helped, as the Cavaliers are a dismal 1-6 against the spread when playing on three days of rest. I would submit that the only Cavalier in need of an extra few days of R&amp;R would be LeBron because the others have simply been watching rather than playing. If that wasn’t bad enough, Kevin Love has concussion issues after losing a game of noggin knockers with Boston’s Jayson Tatum in Game 6.</p><p>All we have to do is harken back to Cleveland’s Game 1 in Boston after their series sweep of Toronto in the second round. Cleveland had six days to rest their bones and prepare for their Eastern Conference Finals tilt with the Celtics in what the oddsmakers hung as a pick’em, only to watch Boston dismantle the Cavs 108-83. Want more evidence? After concluding the regular season, Cleveland had four days to rest before their opening game in the first-round against Indiana and lost by 18 points at home as seven-point favorites. Fast forward to Thursday night and the scenario is similar. If history is any indication, then Golden State, having dominated Cleveland by covering the number in four of the teams’ last five meetings in Oakland, should be locked, loaded and ready to unleash a barrage of points against a defense that is prone to lapsing and an offense susceptible to stumbling after a lengthy reprieve.</p><p>The oddsmakers are clearly relying on history when making this point spread and hoping that some purported wiseguys will look at this line and devour it – being the sharps that they are. Such a man is my SBR colleague Doug Upstone, who is advising his disciples that the Cavaliers are the smart choice in their <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/" title="Free NBA Picks">NBA picks</a> for Thursday's game. Hogwash, I say (as I remove my monocle and fix my top hat)! There’s nothing more tedious than the pedantic drivel of a man desperately afraid to be called a square. So much so, that he eschews common sense and manufactures a reason why the decided underdog is indeed the sharp side.</p><p>All we need to do is look back at the first two games of last season’s NBA Finals between these two clubs. Both games were in Golden State and the Warriors crushed the Cavs by an average of more than 20 points. Don’t overthink, and don’t be like Doug. Sometimes the squares are right and in this case, they are! Watch the Warriors pound the Cavs and cover the number.</p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/counterpoint-surprise-cavaliers-to-stay-close-enough-in-opener/85423">Read why Doug Upstone thinks the Cavs can capitalize in Game 1.</a></h2>
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