Playoff Injuries Which Affect Conference Semi Final NBA Picks

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, May 5, 2016 6:51 PM GMT

We've seen crazy lopsided games this postseason & some big injuries have already taken their toll. However, there are still interesting things injuries are doing to the NBA Championship Odds.

Golden State Warriors – Stephen Curry
The Golden State Warriors are currently -140 at Bovada sportsbook to win the NBA Championship. This is a much better price than what they were before Stephen Curry went down, and right now across the industry the best price you can get the Dubs to win the NBA Title is at Betway and Unibet who have them at -110.

However, after taking a 2-0 series lead on the Blazers, and with news that Curry could be making his way back soon, is there cause for concern with the Warriors. The Spurs have looked dominant as well but they have a much tougher second round series against the Thunder, and even without Curry, the Warriors have looked unstoppable still.

Shaun Livingston and Klay Thompson is a superior defensive backcourt to when Curry is in the game. This could lead to some lower scoring games once the series shifts back to Portland, but that’s assuming Curry is still out for Game 3. Either way, once Curry comes back, the Warriors’ offense will definitely get a boost, but their ATS value may go away if Curry comes back rusty. He has barely played a full game’s worth of minutes these entire playoffs, and his return will surely boost the Warriors odds on the road in Portland, even if it’s warranted or not.

 

Miami Heat – Chris Bosh
The Heat, Chris Bosh and the media have been playing the “will he come back sometime in the playoffs,” game for months now. We finally got official word yesterday that Bosh will indeed miss the playoffs, as the risk of him playing outweighs his potential contributions to the team.

However, Bosh’s absence hasn’t hurt this team as much as some thought, and it hasn’t moved their NBA odds to win the NBA Championship either. The Heat are still sitting anywhere from +2700 to +3500 at sportsbooks across the world, and their smaller lineup has also given them some great spacing.

Starting Luol Deng and Joe Johnson in a smaller lineup has increased the Heat’s ability to shoot the three and space the floor for their driving wing players. It has also helped Hassan Whiteside, however, he is also a little banged up heading into Game 2 on Thursday night. If he isn’t completely healthy, it’s going to be hard for the Heat to beat the Cavaliers, if they indeed get to the Eastern Conference Finals.

However, one thing Bosh’s injury has done is allowed the Heat to play faster. With a smaller lineup on the floor, the Heat cannot only play their half court offense, they can run the floor and push the pace in transition.

Goran Dragic has thrived in this style of play, and it could really force some of Miami’s totals to go over in the future. They did play slower in Game 1 of their series against the Raptors, but the overtime forced the total to go over. Plus, if the first quarter had not been so low scoring, NBA picks on the total might have gone over anyway.