Player Props to Pad Tonight's NBA Picks

Joe Catalano

Tuesday, December 9, 2014 8:11 PM GMT

It's time for one of my favorite segments and that's NBA Daily Player Props. I find this as a good opportunity to make a profit as the odds makers attempt to make the bettor break the trend in certain circumstances.

Total Points For Lebron James
Over 25.5 -115
Under 25.5 -115
The royal show is over and LBJ can get back to doing what he does best and that's playing basketball. It was clear in yesterday's blowout of the Nets, that Lebron deferred to Kevin Love in the 1st half as the game was even and in the 3rd quarter, when the Duke and Duchess showed up, LBJ took over the game and it quickly became a blowout.

This affected Lebron's playing time and point total and that's something to take into consideration. The King is coming home tonight and against Toronto and I look for him to play the lead role as Kyrie Irving has been off the mark lately.

Free NBA Prop Pick: Over 25.5 -115

 

Total Points + Rebounds +Assists For Kyle Lowry
Over 35.5 -115
Under 35.5 -115
Lowry faces a tall order in a confident Cleveland Cavaliers team and is also coming off of back to back performances in which he hasn't reached the 35.5 plateau where points combined with rebounds are concerned. Although he's a prolific scorer in this league, averaging over 20 points per game and a respectable rebounder, and assist man,  I see this total going way under.

Free NBA Prop Pick: Under 35.5

 

Total Points For Damian Lillard
Over 20 -115
Under 20 -115
Lillard is one of the best point guards in the league and he gets a favorable matchup against a slumping Brandon Jennings and D.J. Augustin on a very weak and poorly coached Detroit Pistons squad. Lillard has eclipsed the 20 point mark in his last 2 games and I see no reason why he shouldn't do it here. Take the over.

Free NBA Prop Pick: Over 20 -115

 

Total Points For Josh Smith
Over 14.5 -115
Under 14.5 -115
Josh Smith is an enigma; one game, he'll give the Pistons a full effort across the board and the next game, he's throwing up wild shots and not using his athleticism to it's fullest extent.

With Smith, you don't go off of trends; you go off of gut feelings in the matchup. Portland is a tough customer with LaMarcus Aldridge down in the paint and Smith knows that if he doesn't play well, Greg Monroe will be coming off the bench to replace him. 14.5 is the correct total for Smith provided by the odds makers and I expect him to go over the 14.5.

Free NBA Prop Pick: Over 14.5 -115

 

Total Points For Zack Randolph
Over 16.5 -115
Under 16.5 -115
We're used to seeing 20-10 in the stat sheets for Zack Randolph, but this season, there's been a major decline in his game. He's still a very respectable player that can give a defensive-minded Grizzlies team 15 points and 10 rebounds, but overall, he doesn't produce on a consistent basis.; maybe it's age. I'm going to break the trend here as I see a Randolph having to produce against a very tough Dallas Mavericks squad.

Free NBA Prop Pick: Over 16.5 -115

 

How Many Points Will Anthony Davis Score?
Over 25.5 -130
Under 25.5- EV
The Unibrow gets a matchup against a very frustrated Knicks team that can't seem to win a game. Davis, in my opinion, has been the best player in the NBA this season and has a very high upside for years to come. Nevermind the triangle offense, we could see a shootout between Carmelo Anthony and Davis. Add the 'Over' for the Brow to your NBA picks today.

Free NBA Prop Pick: Over 25.5 -130