Place Your NBA Pick On Timberwolves +7.5 To Cover ATS in Utah

Swinging Johnson

Friday, January 29, 2016 5:00 PM GMT

Minnesota has dropped four of their last five while the Jazz are fresh off a destruction of the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday night. Let’s review the NBA odds on this clash in Utah tonight.

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NBA Pick:  Minnesota +7 ½
Best Line Offered:  at Pinnacle

 

Minnesota Timberwolves (14-33 SU, 20-26-1 ATS)
Though the T-Wolves have dropped four of their last five games the good news for those who have included them in their NBA Picks is that the team has covered their last three contests. In addition to defeating the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday night Minnesota hung tough against the Cavaliers in a 114-107 loss as 13 ½ point road dogs. In their last outing just two nights ago the Wolves battled Kevin Durant and the Oklahoma City Thunder tooth and nail in a 126-123 shootout at the Target Center. That was an ATS cover I called on that very game.

Second-year man Zach LaVine was impressive in the narrow defeat dropping 35 points on 14-of-17 shooting including 5-of-8 from beyond the arc in his 29 minutes of play. That performance by LaVine was the most points generated from a bench player this season and set a franchise record for most points from a non-starter. The T-Wolves are a young group of talented, tipitty-top end draft picks that are beginning to play like it. The triumvirate of Anthony Wiggins, Karl-Anthony Towns and Zach LaVine were all chosen to the Rising Stars game during the All-Star weekend. Don’t be surprised if they are chosen to the big team in the near future.

 

Utah Jazz (20-25 SU, 23-20-2 ATS)
Utah may have been dwelling a bit on their double overtime loss to Charlotte last week because when the teams met again on Wednesday night at the Vivint Smart Home Arena the Jazz laid the hammer down to the tune of a 102-73 throttling of the Hornets. Shooting guard Rodney Hood led the balanced scoring attack for the Jazz with 24 points including 4-of-9 from three-point land. Gordon Hayward bucketed 22 points of his own while the big man, 7’1” Rudy Gobert, hauled down 12 boards to overwhelm their guests from Charlotte. Defensively the Jazz suffocated the Hornets, causing 18 turnovers.

Power forward Derrick Favors is back for the Jazz after missing 16 games with a back injury. Favors has been active for Utah’s last two games and has played a total of 41 minutes combined in games against Detroit and Charlotte. The fifth-year product out of Georgia Tech made 11-of-17 field goal attempts averaging 13.0 points and four boards per game. The addition of Favors should help the Jazz boost their 25th ranked scoring average (97.6 PPG) but their defense has been among the best this season limiting opponents to just 96.8 points per game.

 

Betting Analysis
The T-Wolves are 3-1 straight up and 4-0 ATS when playing the Jazz in Utah over their previous four meetings. In their only meeting so far this season Minnesota blasted Utah 94-80 as four-point home favorites. As we review the NBA Odds in this one we find that Utah is a 7 ½ point home favorite over this young T-Wolves team. Utah boasts a 13-10 straight up and a 13-8-2 ATS mark at home this season but Minnesota has fared well for their backers when the team hits the highway with a 13-9 ATS road mark.

This line is too high. Sure the T-Wolves lose and lose often but they are playing much better and they are covering the number. They have also owned the Jazz in their own building over the past four games so why am I going to lay 7 ½ points with a thoroughly mediocre Utah team? I’m not and will happily back the road dogs in this one.