Pistons vs. Hornets Matchup Too Close to Earn ATS/Money Line NBA Picks: Bet the Total

Darin Zank

Tuesday, February 10, 2015 3:06 PM GMT

Charlotte surely misses Kemba Walker, but somehow the Hornets are 5-1 ATS in NBA betting trends since they lost him. Detroit, meanwhile, is 5-3 ATS since losing Brandon Jennings.

Pistons-Hornets Betting Odds
The NBA odds market opened this game with Charlotte favored by two points, the total offered at right around 190. In the early betting the spread was holding steady, but the total jumped to 192.

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Pistons-Hornets: The Match-Up
Charlotte was hot just a minute ago, having won three in a row, and 12 of 15. But the Hornets have lost their last two games, Saturday at Philly 89-81 and Sunday at home to Indiana 103-102. Charlotte led the Sixers by 16 in the first half, but scored just 33 points in the second half; then Sunday night the Hornets led the Pacers by 21 in the first half, then scored just 19 points in the fourth quarter, and lost by one.

Undoubtedly, Charlotte has missed Kemba Walker the last couple of games. Since he went down and out with that knee injury the Hornets have gone 3-3 SU, but 5-1 ATS. Perhaps the oddsmakers have overestimated Walker's absence.

Charlotte, at 22-29, is tied with Miami for the seven-eight spots in the Eastern Conference, one game ahead of ninth-place Brooklyn.

Detroit had won three of four games, with wins over Houston and Miami, but last time out Sunday night lost at home to a Rubio-less Minnesota 112-101. The Pistons trailed almost the entire game, and by 19 in the third quarter, rallied to within four points early in the fourth quarter, but ran out of gas.

Detroit shot 47 percent from the floor Sunday, but allowed the Timberwolves to shoot 51 percent.

Detroit, at 20-32, is tied with Boston for 10th place in the East, but sits just 2.5 games behind the Hornets and Heat in the battle for eighth place.

This is the first meeting this season between these two teams; they'll meet three more times after this. Last season Charlotte swept three games from Detroit, winning twice as a dog on the road, and once at home. All three of those games played OVER the NBA odds totals.

However, we have a feeling that totals streak will end tonight.

 

Pistons-Hornets Key Stats
Detroit ranks just 28th in the league in FG shooting at 43 percent, and 29th in FT shooting at 71 percent. At the other end of the floor the Pistons rank 26th in FG defense, allowing opponents to shoot 46 percent.

Charlotte ranks 29th in FG shooting at 42 percent, dead last in 3-point shooting at 31 percent and 26th in FT shooting at 74 percent. But the Hornets also rank seventh in FG defense, holding foes to just under 44 percent shooting, and they lead the league in taking care of the ball, averaging just 11 turnovers per game.

 

Pistons-Hornets Betting Trends
Detroit is 24-27 on the OVER/UNDERS this season, as Pistons games have averaged 198 points.

Charlotte is 25-26 on the totals, as Hornets games have averaged 191 points. Charlotte has also played 10 UNDERS in its last 12 games, mainly because it's been playing some pretty good defense, holding nine of its last 13 opponents to less than 90 points, and because Walker has missed the last six games.

Detroit is 10-15 SU, 13-12 ATS on the road this season.

Charlotte is 13-14 SU, 11-16 ATS at home.

 

Injury Update
Detroit G Brandon Jennings is out for the season after popping an Achilles. Over on the other bench Charlotte G Kemba Walker is out with a torn knee, and F Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, who had hit double-digits in the scoring column six games in a row, tweaked a hammy Saturday night, missed Sunday's game and will probably miss this game, too.

 

Pistons-Hornets Free Pick
We don't like a side here, because it just looks too close to call. But with Jennings, Walker and MKG all out, we get the feeling this one might devolve into a low-scoring scrum. So we'll place our NBA pick with the UNDER in this spot.

Free NBA Pick: Detroit/Charlotte UNDER 192.5 at Pinnacle