Pick Hornets +10.5 vs. Warriors for Tonight's NBA Betting

Joe Catalano

Saturday, November 15, 2014 6:16 PM GMT

Although this is NCAA Football Saturday, bettors get a nice matchup to pick apart as Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors host Al Jefferson and the Charlotte Hornets. Although the Bobcats aren't lacking in talent with AJ and Kemba Walker, they're a 10.5 betting underdog and West Coast trips are a grind for the East Coast teams. See who we like as our betting pick.

Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 pm ET tonight at the Oracle Arena in Oakland, California. Along with the Warriors being a 10.5 point betting favorite, the total for this game is listed at 201.5, courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.

We all know that Stephen Curry will get his shots, but role players such as Andrew Bogut will play a huge role in this game as they have to deal with the massive scoring machine known as Al Jefferson.

 

The Momentum Factor
Charlotte is coming off of a big win on the road in Phoenix as they defeated a good Phoenix Suns team, 103-95. In this game, Kemba Walker, who has gotten off to bit of a slow start, led the way for the Hornets with 19 points,5, rebounds, and 4 assists as Charlotte outscored the Suns in the 4th quarter to come away with the win.

With the addition of Lance Stephenson, the Hornets are a much improved team, but need Kemba's offense. Walker is averaging 15.2 point per game on just 41 % from the field. This is a bit of a drop of years past and he'll need to pick up his offensive game to compete with a top-notch offense known as the Golden State Warriors.

 

Lance Stephenson
Stephenson has made a big difference in the Hornets, coming from Indiana, but he's been much more of a ball distributor than a scorer and that's a bit surprising. On the season, Stephenson is averaging 9.2 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game. Although Lance Stephenson has definitely improved the Hornets squad and made them more of a threat, he's only shooting 34% from the field and that will have to improve for Charlotte to be taken serious.

A key matchup in this game will be at the center position between Andrew Bogut and Al Jefferson. Jefferson will get his points regardless, but Bogut's length and ability to rebound can cause some trouble for Jefferson. Bogut was a legitimate scorer in Milwaukee and has somewhat filled in for an injured David Lee and has done a fantastic job for new head coach Steve Kerr and the Warriors. Golden State ranks 9th in the NBA in rebounds and part of that is due to the effort of Aussie Andew Bogut.

For the season, the 7 foot Bogut is averaging 6.8 points, 10.8 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks per game. He can easily be a double-double threat, but there's not enough offense to go around on the Warriors squad and Bogut is relegated to putbacks. Look for a big defensive effort from Bogut. Jefferson can win a game by himself and Bogut's importance is equal to Stephen Curry's 3 shooting efficiency.

 

Breakout Season
One thing that couldn't be expected is the emergence of Klay Thompson. Thompson has always been a reliable scorer for the Warriors, but he's improved his game drastically. Thompson is up to 24.7 points per game and that would make him one of the top scorers in the NBA. This career 16 point per game scorer is shooting a red hot 46.8% from 3-point range. Nevermind stopping Stephen Curry, the Hornets will need to worry about Klay Thompson because he's currently Golden State's hottest and most confident outside shooter.

 

Outcome
The NBA odds point spread is a bit high and I expect Charlotte to gain some confidence after their win over Phoenix. When making your NBA picks keep in mind that Golden State should still win the game ,but this game will be competitive.

Free NBA Pick: Charlotte +10.5 at 5Dimes

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