Pick Heat +6 vs. Spurs in Game 5 of NBA Finals

Ross Benjamin

Friday, June 13, 2014 3:04 PM GMT

Our sports betting expert previews Game 5 of the 2014 NBA Finals this evening. Read what he has to say in this informative article which is concluded with a NBA free pick.

NBA Champion Possible Crowned Tonight
The Spurs will host the Heat on Sunday at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas with the opening tip slated for 8:05 PM ET. This will be Game 5 of the 2014 NBA Finals in a series that the Spurs lead 3-1. The Spurs seized control of the series with a pair of dominating wins at Miami. San Antonio will have captured their 5th NBA world championship crown since 1999 with a win this evening. According to NBA betting odds at the time of this writing, the Spurs are a 6.0 point favorite, and the posted total is 195.0.

Heat vs. Spurs Betting the Total

Road Dominance at Crunch Time
The Spurs were flawless in their two wins at Miami shooting a combined 58% from the field, and averaged 109-points. In the process of doing so they won by 19 in Game 3, and by 21 in Game 4. The hot shooting is nothing new in this series for San Antonio. Through the first 4-games they've averaged 106-points per game, shot 54% from the field, and a remarkable 47% from beyond the 3-point line. The Spurs home loss in Game 2 snapped an 8-game postseason winning streak at the AT&T Center. They won 7 of those 8-games by 15-points or more. The Spurs also have a +27 rebounding advantage in this series.

Heat vs. Spurs Betting the Spread

Horrible Heat Defense
You don't have to search far to discover why they Heat are down 3-1 in the series, and on the brink of elimination for the first time in the 2014 playoffs. They've had absolutely no answers defensively for a Spurs team that's operating with the highest degree of offensive efficiency. In their Game 2 win the Heat held the Spurs to a respectable 45% shooting from the field, and in their 3 losses San Antonio has shot 57% or better in each of those contests. The frustrating part for Miami is they've actually shot the ball very well in this series. Through the first 4-games they've shot 49% from the field, and a stellar 43% from beyond the 3-point line. Before the Heat get read their last rites, we must keep in mind they're the two time defending champions, and won't go down easily.


NBA Betting System
Any NBA playoff underdog which is coming off 2 consecutive losses, with each coming by 10-points or more, and they scored 95-points or less in each of those past 2-games, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .790 or less, has gone 14-2 ATS since 1990. The underdog has won 10 of those 16-games outright, and we are backing this trend with our NBA picks tonight.

Free Pick: Heat +6.0 over the Spurs