Pick Heat -12.5 over Jazz

Jeff Grant

Monday, December 16, 2013 12:41 PM GMT

Monday, Dec. 16, 2013 12:41 PM GMT

The Miami Heat have taken care of business against Western Conference opponents recently, which should lead to a victory over the Utah Jazz Monday night. Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting lines for this non-conference matchup.

A boost to the lineup

Utah opened the season with a 1-13 record, but the franchise has won five of its last 12 games since rookie point guard Trey Burke landed in the starting lineup, as it looks to bounce back from a 100-84 setback to the Denver Nuggets as seven-point home underdogs in the NBA odds last Saturday.

The former Michigan Wolverines star is averaging 14.8 points and 5.6 assists per game, while backcourt mate Gordon Hayward is contributing 17.2 and 4.7 in those respective categories.

Classic lookahead spot?

Miami has split its last six games, but it did come away with a 114-107 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers as 12.5-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total of 199.5.

The Heat may look past the Jazz in this spot, considering they’ll be focused on gaining revenge from a 90-84 defeat to the Indiana Pacers last week.

NBA handicappers will find that the franchise is 10-2 SU and 4-8 ATS at home this season.

Read SBR's sportsbook reviews before placing your bets!

A bad situation

The Jazz have failed to cover the number in all four opportunities as road underdogs of 12.5 to 15 points the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 3-1 in that situation.

It’s important to point out that the underdog has grabbed the cash in four of the last five meetings in this series, but Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last seven trips to South Beach.

King James

The Heat will rely heavily on forward LeBron James on the offensive end in this affair, as his 30.5-point career scoring average is his highest against any team in the league.

Miami has also been dealing with guard Dwyane Wade being in and out of the lineup due to chronic knee soreness, while center Chris Bosh is averaging just 14.3 points on the season.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers add the Heat to their NBA picks, as they’ve won 16 consecutive games versus Western Conference opponents, while the Jazz are 9-20-1 ATS on the road versus teams with a home winning percentage of .600 or higher.

NBA Pick:  Miami Heat -12.5

[gameodds]5/250334/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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