Pick Bucks +11 over Spurs for your NBA Picks

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, December 11, 2013 4:05 PM GMT

Wednesday, Dec. 11, 2013 4:05 PM GMT

Year after year, no matter who’s on the court for the San Antonio Spurs (16-4), they keep finding ways to outplay their opponents. Spurs starters can possibly be taking an early seat tonight as they face the Eastern Conference’s worst in the Milwaukee Bucks (5-16). Let's see if the NBA odds favor the veterans in this affair.

Bet 365 lists the Spurs as a heavy 11 point betting favorite in the NBA odds even on the road, and the total for the game is listed at 193.

Both teams are coming off of victories. The Bucks are coming off of a solid win over a Chicago Bulls team that’s depleted with injuries while the Spurs are coming off of a double-digit victory over a Raptors team which is in a transitional period with the Rudy Gay trade.

Do the Bucks have any chance to win this game?

Finding Ways To Win

The Spurs are a team with great depth and head coach Gregg Popovich has used that to his advantage. When Aron Baynes is scoring 14 points and 6 rebounds in 21 minutes and Patty Mills is going for double figures in just 16 minutes of play, a lot of pressure is taken off of an aging Tim Duncan and Tony Parker.

The only time that you’ll ever see Parker or Duncan go 30 minutes is when they’re having an exceptional game. San Antonio also possesses the international connection of Manu Ginobili and Marco Belinelli. Ginobili is coming off of back to back 16 point games in limited action. He’s appeared to find a 2nd wind as he’s getting up there in years. When Ginobili plays well, the Spurs are close to unbeatable.

Belinelli is no slouch himself. He’s averaging 14.2 points per game in his last 5 games. In these games, he’s played an average of 24.2 minutes per game. Aside from Ginobili, the Spurs bench contains a bunch of castoffs from other teams. Players such as Boris Diaw have found a home in San Antonio and every player on this team contributes; it’s all about the team.

Milwaukee will be hard-pressed to match a team which goes 13 players deep.

[gameodds]5/249856/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

A Star Is Born

The Bucks may not have all of the pieces together to build a winning team, but they certainly have a budding superstar in former North Carolina Tarheel, John Henson.

Henson was a double-double machine in college and has the potential to be an elite star in the NBA. The Bucks are coming off of a 78-74 victory over Chicago yesterday in which Henson was dominant. The Bucks might have only scored 78 points in 48 minutes, but Henson played big.

He had 25 points, 14 rebounds, 6 blocks, 3 steals, and 2 assists. If this rookie plays provides even 60 to 70% of the production that he provided against the Bulls, Milwaukee should be able to cover the spread.

With all of the Pistons acquisitions, Brandon Knight was ushered out of Motown and into Milwaukee, a place in which he could have plenty of “PT” to display his skills. Thus far, Knight hasn’t taken advantage of the opportunity, shooting just 34.8% from the field and averaging 11 points per game. That said, he’s coming off of a solid 19 point, 10 rebound effort against Chicago. The shooting efficiency still wasn’t there (8 for 23), but the Bucks would surely take these numbers against the Spurs.

Wednesday NBA Picks of the Day

Outcome

11 points are a lot to lay on the road and although the Spurs are the far superior team, we'll look for the Bucks to cover the spread for our NBA pick. John Henson is picking up a tremendous amount of confidence as he plays each game and the win over Chicago was a major confidence booster for the entire Bucks team.

Pick - Milwaukee +11 at Bet 365
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