Pick 76ers as NBA Odds Favorites Over Visiting Lakers

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, March 31, 2015 2:58 PM GMT

In this case numbers don’t lie, the Los Angeles Lakers and Philadelphia have among the worst records in the NBA and there is mostly one reason why they are looked at for sports picks. 

Frequently, these two are on the receiving end of a lot of points, thus NBA handicappers and those examining the NBA odds are weighing the options of the level of interest the favorite might have against these dregs of the Association or if these hardly loveable squads will play with pride despite their pathetic records.

With these two clubs playing out the season, what can one possibly expect versus the NBA odds, let have a look and see who might be the best of the worst.

NBA Picks of the Day: Monday's Point Spread Offers Intriguing Odds

Faceless Lakers Trying, but Lack NBA Talent
For Sportsbook Review readers, I have a question for you and it’s a hard one. The Los Angeles Lakers lost to Brooklyn on Sunday to send their record to 19-53, (35-33-4 ATS), without cheating, can you name four of the eight players they used yesterday? (One of them was not Jeremy Lin who was out)

This is what this once proud franchise has become, a faceless, nameless group of players nobody knows and even worse, nobody cares about. Oh sure point guard Jordan Clarkson (10.3 PPG) has an upside and Ed Davis (8.4) is still just 25 years old, but Jordan Hill (12.3) and Wesley Johnson (9.6 PPG)  will be 28 next season and what are there long term projections?

I’ve been over this before, but the Lakers without Jerry Buss having the right people to run the organization are a mess and realistically why would Kevin Love come here, unless he want to show his true colors and go back to another losing team, in which he can be the star hoisting up the most shots.

At least the Lakers player and coach know this, despite a recent 3-15 SU record, with only wins over Detroit, Minnesota and this same Philadelphia club, in spite of the lack of talent, they have a legitimate shot to win this contest.

 

Philadelphia is Improving (but barely noticeable)
The 76ers are 3-4 and 5-2 ATS in their last seven outings and while a case could be made the opposing team is not taking them seriously one iota because of their 18-56 record (38-35-1 ATS), when making NBA picks, often you have to look a little deeper.

For example, Nerlens Noel (9.9, 8.1 RPG) over his last 11 games he is averaging a double-double (points and rebounds), along with two each in steals and blocks.

Last year the Sixers finished the season last in points allowed and third from the bottom in opponents' field-goal percentage. As of Sunday, Philadelphia was 18th in points conceded, 14th in FG percentage allowed and 11th in the metric known as defensive efficiency.

With the departure of Michael-Carter Williams, PG Ish Smith (11.7, 6.2 assists) has filled in admirably and while he might not have MCW talent or upside, he and Noel work well together, which is a big plus in looking ahead.

This is a game Philly can definitely win, they just have to stay focused and execute.

 

Betting Odds and Head to Head
Sportsbooks sent out the Sixers as a 2.5-point favorite, with a total of 192.5. The Lakers as mentioned won previously, eight days ago back West by the score of 101-87 as 4.5-point favorites. Philadelphia has failed to win or cover the last two at home against the purple and gold.

 

Scheduling
Los Angeles wraps up its five-game road trip this evening and is back home Wednesday to begin a three-game homestand versus New Orleans, Portland and the Clippers. The Lakers are 2-11 and 7-6 ATS with no days off (however, losing by 9.2 PPG) and their only two previous victories have come in when the situation was -away and away- on consecutive nights. (2-5 and 5-2 ATS)

This will be Philadelphia’s third game in four nights, having lost at Cleveland 87-86 as gargantuan 17-point underdogs yesterday. The rest of the week the Sixers will be like a traveling salesman, on the road at Washington, Charlotte and New York. Philly is 6-13 and 12-7 ATS with zero rest the average score 6.7 PPG to the negative.

 

The Choice
When it comes down to it, I actually like the competitive nature of Philadelphia more these days, how positive head coach Brett Brown has been in spite of all the losing and the baby steps this group has taken in going upward compared to the L.A. Lakers.

With the 76ers 11-2 ATS in non-conference home games and 14-6 ATS versus opposing teams being outscored by three or points a contest, with a bit of trepidation, I’ll choose the home team for my NBA pick.

NBA Basketball Free PickPhiladelphia at Pinnacle