Pelicans Getting Enough in Game 5 to Cover at Warriors

warriors pelicans

Swinging Johnson

Monday, May 7, 2018 3:34 PM UTC

Monday, May. 7, 2018 3:34 PM UTC

The Warriors are on the cusp of advancing to the Western Conference Finals after dominating the Pelicans on Sunday. Let’s see which side is worth backing on Tuesday night back in Oakland. 

Pelicans (53-37 SU, 51-38-1 ATS) at Warriors (65-26 SU, 38-50-3 ATS)Free NBA Pick: Pelicans +12Best Line Offered: BetPhoenix

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  • Golden State is 1-9 ATS on Tuesday night.
  • Golden State is 9-20 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season.
  • Golden State is 16-23 ATS after a win by 10 points or more.
  • New Orleans is 25-16 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent.
  • New Orleans is 14-8 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.
  • New Orleans is 19-15 ATS after allowing 115 points or more.

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Warriors coach Steve Kerr has been toying with different lineups throughout this series and for the third consecutive game juggled the starting unit with Draymond Green at center, Andre Iguodala in place of JaVale McGee, along with the usual suspects Steph Curry, Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson completing the starters at tipoff. Whatever the combination, the Warriors are potent and demonstrated their superior talent with a decisive 118-92 win over the Pelicans on Sunday afternoon. Durant was the cornerstone of the Golden State offense with 38 points and nine rebounds, while Curry chipped in 23 and Thompson added 13 in the Game 4 win.

Perhaps the biggest change from Game 3 to Game 4, aside from the score, was Golden State’s commitment to defense. The Warriors stymied the Pelicans from the opening tipoff when Durant buried his first two shots and led his team to a 37-22 first-quarter blowout. Golden State demonstrated that they would not be deterred by their Game 3 upset in the first 12 minutes of play, but New Orleans rebounded by outscoring their opponents by eight points in the second frame to trail by seven at the half. However, little did the Pelicans know that their offense would be suffocated in the second half leading to just a combined 38 points en route to the humiliating home loss. Anthony Davis once again led New Orleans with 26 points and 12 boards, yet his 8 of 22 was nothing to write home about and Rajon Rondo was a mess from the floor hitting on only 2 of 10 for six points on the day.

A quick glance at the NBA odds board and we see BetPhoenix, currently offering a 175% Free Play Sports Bonus on cash deposits of $300 or more, dealing the Warriors -12, which looks like ice cream to the betting masses. But let’s not play the role of the mouse taking the cheese and getting trapped. The Pelicans are 4-4 against the number vs. the Warriors this season. Let’s not forget that the last time these teams met at the Oracle Arena only a week ago that the Pelicans battled the world champs to a 121-116 loss but easily covered as 11-point road dogs. And that was immediately after getting waxed in Game 1 by 22 points.

We have the same scenario here. The Pelicans are coming off an embarrassing loss and shot horribly as a team, particularly from beyond the arc where they went just 4 of 26. That won’t happen again, and as Davis said after Sunday’s loss, "Any time we've been punched in the mouth, we've always responded very well." Golden State will close out the series but a dozen points being handed to Pelicans’ backers is too much to resist. Add New Orleans to your NBA picks and cash a ticket.

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