Parker & Spurs to 'Cover' vs Cavaliers

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, March 4, 2014 1:15 PM GMT

Tuesday, Mar. 4, 2014 1:15 PM GMT

Cleveland has been a hot mess this season, and things don’t get any easier with the Spurs coming to town. The NBA Odds have San Antonio as -6 ½ road favorites, with a total of 203.

San Antonio is an astonishing 19-5 SU and 14-10 ATS as road favorites this season, so will they continue their road dominance against the East, or will the short handed Cavs come up with a big cash at home?

Parker over there

Tony Parker made his return for the Spurs a few nights ago and he picked up right where he left off, scoring 20+ points and leading the Spurs to a win. The Spurs finally have a fully healthy roster, and they seem poised for a big run in the final 25 games of the season.

The Cavs on the other hand are still dealing with some troubling injuries, most notably to Anderson Varejao, who looks like he will miss another game. Without him, the Cavs stand little chance of slowing down either Tiago Splitter or more importantly, Tim Duncan. Tristan Thompson will likely defend Duncan tonight, and even though it’s not a horrible matchup, this is Duncan, and he will surely have 20 points and 10 rebounds tonight unless San Antonio is up by 40 points at half time.

Parker should have a big game as well going against Kyrie Irving’s invisible defense. The Spurs not only have the ability to score at will tonight with one of their mismatches, but their defense should be superb. Kawhi Leonard is playing well off of his injury, and against Luol Deng, he should slow down one of the Cavs’ main weapons. Other than Irving, Cleveland won’t be able to score the ball tonight, and it will lead to the Spurs having excellent NBA Odds value on the road.

The Sharp Pick

With Parker back for the Spurs, and Varejao still out for the Cavs, the Cleveland defense stands no chance tonight. The Spurs have been undervalued all season on the road at 17-13 ATS, and this is another perfect example of the sportsbooks not giving the Spurs the benefit of the doubt. Now that San Antonio is fully healthy, they should run through the Cavs.

In their first meeting this season, San Antonio cruised to a 126-96 win back in November. That was when Varejao was healthy, and well before the Bulls traded them Deng for nothing. That makes this spread almost laughable to me. Obviously anything could happen, and the Cavs might lose by two points in a tight game all the way through, but my better judgment tells me a blowout is coming.

The Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Cavs, and after winning six games in a row SU and almost convincing people they were turning things around, the Cavs have gone 2-4 SU since that streak, and they are almost destined for the lottery at this point. The Spurs have the advantage at every position tonight, and their bench should be well rested now that they don’t all have to play 30 minutes a night. This season, the Spurs are 8-4 ATS on the road against the East. Don't hesitate to take the Spurs in your NBA picks for tonight.

My Pick: Spurs -6 ½

[gameodds]5/257308/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

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