Pair of Profitable NBA Picks for Lakers vs. Blazers: Against the Spread & 'Over/Under'

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, February 11, 2015 2:48 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2015 2:48 PM UTC

NBA odds for tonight's match between Trail Blazers and Lakers looks to be a mismatch on Wednesday night as Portland is a 13.5-point favorite which is the biggest spread on the busy schedule. The total is 196.

Lakers Likely West's Worst Team Right Now
Los Angeles (13-39) lost its fifth straight and 14th in the past 15 games on Tuesday, 106-96 at home against a Denver team that entered on a six-game losing streak of its own. Nick Young, about the only legit scorer the Lakers have right now, struggled for the third straight game with just 12 points on 4-for-13 shooting. He has totaled only 20 points in the past three games and also was fined for showing up late on Tuesday. Coach Byron Scott recently benched Young for a few games to get his mind right. Guess that didn't work.  

The Lakers remain without one of their few good players (other than out-for-season Kobe Bryant) as center Jordan Hill hasn't played since Feb. 1 due to a hip injury. The team is hopeful Hill can return after the break. He averages 12.3 points and 8.0 rebounds, both career highs. There have been rumors the Lakers would like to trade Hill while his value is high -- or at least will be high again once healthy. However, the trade deadline is Feb. 19 so teams won't be able to see him on the court again before that. The Lakers hold a team option for $9 million on Hill next season and Hill can veto any deal.

The Lakers are 21-27-4 against the spread and 22-28-2 'over/under' on NBA odds.


Blazers Hitting the Wall?
It's about this time of year that NBA players hit the proverbial wall in the dog days of the season and it seems like the All-Star Break is coming at a good time for the Blazers (35-17) as they haven't been playing great for about a month. Since winning four straight in early January, the team is just 5-9. To be fair, the schedule did get much tougher with games against likely playoffs clubs such as the Clippers, Spurs, Grizzlies, Suns (twice), Wizards, Cavaliers, Hawks, Mavericks and Rockets.

Portland comes off a 109-98 win in Houston on Sunday, the night after blowing a game in Dallas and losing in overtime. The Blazers withstood 45 points from the Rockets' James Harden. All-Stars LaMarcus Aldridge (24) and Damian Lillard (23) combined for 47 points, but for the second straight game Portland blew a double-digit lead. Against Dallas, the Blazers blew an 11-point lead with less than two minutes left. The Houston win snapped a seven-game road losing streak for the Blazers.

Lillard wasn't originally an All-Star choice and was pretty clearly the biggest snub in either conference. However, he has been named as an injury replacement for the Clippers' Blake Griffin. Lillard is averaging 21.6 points, 6.3 assists and 4.7 rebounds and might get a few NBA MVP votes. He is one of four NBA players with multiple 40-plus point games.

The Trail Blazers are 26-25-1 against the NBA betting spread and 23-28-1 'over/under.'

Check out this valuable underdog NBA Pick ATS tonight!

Season Series
Keep in mind when placing your NBA pick tonight that Portland is 2-0 against the Lakers. On Jan. 5 at the Moda Center the Blazers won 98-94 as 12.5-point favorites at sportsbooks. Lillard  had 39 points, including the go-ahead basket with 36 seconds left as part of his 16 fourth-quarter points. Portland was down 10 at one point in the second half. Aldridge added 21 for the Blazers, while Hill had 23 points and 14 rebounds for L.A. Six days later in Los Angeles, the Blazers were 5.5-point favorites on NBA odds and won 106-94. Lillard had 34 points, including 17 in the final 8:16 of the game. That win got Portland a season-high 22 games over .500 and was the end of that four-game winning streak I mentioned above. Wesley Johnson led the Lakers with 17 points. In nine career games against the Lakers, Lillard is averaging 27.1 points. Portland hasn't won three regular-season games in one season against the Lakers since the 1996-97 season.


NBA Betting Verdict
The Lakers have covered just one of their past nine road games. The 'under' is 5-1 in the Lakers' past six playing the second of a back-to-back. The 'under' has hit in six of Portland's past nine at home. 

NBA Picks: Portland -13.5 and 'under' 196 points at BetOnline

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