It’s a new week of NBA action and I am back to cheer up your Monday blues with some of my free NBA Picks of the day. There are several nice NBA Odds on tap tonight, and I have chosen two of my favorites to release to you.
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
The Rockets were in a dogfight last night with the Thunder, with the final score ending at 69-65. Now on a back to back, the Rockets seemingly have another tough matchup against the Grizzlies. The NBA Odds have Memphis as a -4 favorite, with a total of 186 ½. While I got into this line at 190 where it opened, the NBA Odds value is there at 186 ½ to wager the under on this game.
We all know the Grizzlies are one of the better defensive teams in the NBA, but a story going underreported this season is the improved defense of the Rockets. Houston was one of the league’s worst defensive teams last season, but with Dwight Howard healthy, Patrick Beverley defending the point, and Trevor Ariza in for Chandler Parsons, the Rockets are better on defense this season. Their stats show it too. Through ten games this season the Rockets are #1 in the NBA in points allowed adjust fewer than 89 points per game, and if they can continue that tonight, this total is going under.
The under is 5-2 for the Grizzlies in their last seven games following a SU win, and for the Rockets, if you take their start this season, as well as their final two games of last year’s playoffs, the under has cashed in 11 of the Rockets last 12 games. For Houston, the under is also 12-1 in their last 13 games following a SU win. Hopefully you got into this line before all of the movement, but even if you didn’t, under 186 ½ is still a solid play.
Free NBA Pick: UNDER 186 ½ at The Greek
Mavs vs. Hornets
One of the more interesting intra-conference showdowns tonight is the Mavs heading into Charlotte to play the Hornets. The NBA Odds have the road team favored at -3 ½, with a total of 200 points. Yesterday these NBA Odds opened a little lower both with the spread and total, and in the case of the total, the over looks like a great play. So far the NBA Odds have increased for the total at least a point, and a point and a half at others. Even at just over 200 points, this total is going to be a great play for the over tonight.
The Mavs are currently one of the best scoring teams in the NBA right now. They are averaging over 109 points per game, and what’s good for this play is their defense still isn’t great. The Hornets on the other hand have an ok defense, but they are still giving up almost 100 points per game this season.
The over is 12-2 for the Hornets in their last 14 games following a SU loss of ten points or more, while the Mavs have cashed the over at 4-1 in their last five games as a road favorite of five points or fewer. The Mavs are also 7-3 cashing the over after an ATS win. I see it going over again tonight, so add it to your NBA Picks for Monday night.
Free NBA Pick: OVER 200 ½ at 5Dimes